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Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 20, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Porto

Roma
3 - 2
Porto

Dybala (35', 39'), Pisilli (83')
Dybala (29'), Djalo (51')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Omorodion (27'), Rensch (90+6' og.)
Otavio (26'), Perez (34'), (41'), Paredes (86'), Perez (90+3'), Gomes Carvalho Santos (90+3')
Eustaquio (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Roma and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Parma 0-1 Roma
Sunday, February 16 at 5pm in Serie A

Porto

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Farense 0-1 Porto
Sunday, February 16 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Roma had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawPorto
32.41% (0.381 0.38)25.94% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)41.66% (-0.319 -0.32)
Both teams to score 53.67% (0.328 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.45% (0.36499999999999 0.36)50.55% (-0.365 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.53% (0.321 0.32)72.47% (-0.31999999999999 -0.32)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.65% (0.431 0.43)29.34% (-0.432 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.68% (0.528 0.53)65.32% (-0.527 -0.53)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.96%24.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.7% (0.00099999999999767 0)58.3% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Roma 32.41%
    Porto 41.65%
    Draw 25.93%
RomaDrawPorto
1-0 @ 8.65% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.56% (0.071 0.07)
2-0 @ 5.3% (0.049 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.09% (0.066 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.047 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.17% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 32.41%
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.05% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.05 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 10.05% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-2 @ 8.79% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.17% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-3 @ 4.18% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.41% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.56% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.21% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 41.65%

How you voted: Roma vs Porto

Roma
78.0%
Draw
10.2%
Porto
11.9%
177
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2025 8pm
Knockout Round Playoffs 1st Leg
Porto
1-1
Roma
Moura (67')
Varela (20'), Moura (45+2'), Otavio (71')
Celik (45+5')
Pellegrini (18'), Celik (28'), Kone (34'), Saelemaekers (45+2'), Cristante (63'), Baldanzi (90+4'), Paredes (90+4')
Cristante (72')
> Preview
Mar 6, 2019 8pm
Round of 16
Porto
3-1
Roma
> Match Report
Feb 12, 2019 8pm
Round of 16
Roma
2-1
Porto
> Match Report
Aug 23, 2016 7.45pm
Playoffs
Roma
0-3
Porto

Gerson (90')
De Rossi (39'), Emerson (50')
Felipe (8'), Layun (73'), Corona (75')
Herrera (14'), Otavio (31'), Oliveira (57'), Silva (66')
> Match Report
Aug 17, 2016 7.45pm
Playoffs
Porto
1-1
Roma
Silva (61' pen.)
Andre (63'), Pereira (95')
Felipe (21' og.)
Manolas (14'), Vermaelan (28'), Strootman (56'), Palmieri (60'), De Rossi (95')
Vermaelan (41')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
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