Serie A | Gameweek 24
Feb 9, 2025 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
Venezia0 - 1Roma
We said: Venezia 1-2 Roma
Although Venezia are becoming tougher to beat on home turf - and Roma have a woeful record on the road - the visitors should still prevail in Serie A's Sunday lunchtime kickoff. The Giallorossi have found their shooting boots under Claudio Ranieri, so their hosts' leaky defence cannot hold out for 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Venezia win was 1-0 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Roma in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Roma.
| Result | ||
| Venezia | Draw | Roma |
28.14% ( -0.42) | 26.27% ( -0) | 45.59% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 50.52% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
