Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 22

Jan 26, 2025 at 2pm UK

Dacia Arena

Udinese
1 - 2
Roma

Lucca (38')
Karlstrom (52'), Atta (80')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pellegrini (50' pen.), Dovbyk (64' pen.)
Celik (21'), Pellegrini (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Udinese

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Como 4-1 Udinese
Monday, January 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: AZ 1-0 Roma
Thursday, January 23 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Udinese	Draw	Roma
29.94% ( 0.08)	27.24% ( -0.09)	42.82% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 48.67% (

0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.48% (

0.36)

56.51% (

-0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.49% (

0.29)

77.5% (

-0.29)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.88% (

0.26)

34.12% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.19% (

0.27)

70.81% (

-0.27)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.87% (

0.17)

26.12% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.81% (

0.23)

61.19% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Udinese 29.94%

Roma 42.81%

Draw 27.23%

Udinese	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 9.58% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.15% 3-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.3% Total : 29.94%	1-1 @ 12.86% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.23%	0-1 @ 11.96% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 8.64% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.03% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.59% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.15% Total : 42.81%