Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 18

Dec 29, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
1 - 1
Roma

Reijnders (16')
Fonseca (40'), Hernandez (43'), Morata (44'), Reijnders (82'), Gabbia (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Dybala (23')
Kone (4'), Hummels (13'), Paredes (67'), Celik (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

W
W
L
W
D
W

D
D
W
L
D
W

Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-1 AC Milan
Friday, December 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A

25

Roma

All competitions

L
W
W
L
W
W

L
L
L
W
L
W

Last Game: Roma 5-0 Parma
Sunday, December 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

23

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 60.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Roma had a probability of 17.59%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Roma
60.75% ( 0.11)	21.66% ( -0.02)	17.59% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 51.71% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.42% (

-0.05)

45.58% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.09% (

-0.05)

67.91% (

0.05)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.46% (

0.02)

14.54% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.43% (

0.04)

42.57% (

-0.03)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.51% (

-0.14)

39.49% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.82% (

-0.13)

76.18% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 60.75%

Roma 17.59%

Draw 21.66%

AC Milan	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.67% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.38% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.07% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 60.75%	1-1 @ 10.28% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.66%	0-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 17.59%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Roma

AC Milan

58.1%

Draw

30.5%

Roma

11.4%

Head to Head

May 31, 2024 12pm

Club Friendlies

Baldanzi (28'), Abraham (45+2'), Angelino (54'), Dybala (57'), Azmoun (77')

Hernandez (37'), Okafor (55')

Apr 18, 2024 8pm

Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg

(Roma win 3-1 on aggregate)

Mancini (12'), Dybala (22')
Celik (31')

Gabbia (85')
Calabria (32'), Gabbia (46'), Adli (51'), Jovic (77'), Tomori (89'), Hernandez (90+2')

Apr 11, 2024 8pm

Quarter-Finals 1st Leg

Pioli (17'), Pulisic (33'), Adli (63'), Loftus-Cheek (73')

Mancini (17')
Cristante (38')

Jan 14, 2024 7.45pm

Gameweek 20

Adli (11'), Giroud (56'), Hernandez (84')
Kjaer (71'), Gabbia (90')

Paredes (69' pen.)
Mancini (43'), Cristante (56'), Huijsen (81')

Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm

Gameweek 3

Spinazzola (90+2')
Paredes (69'), Lukaku (85')

Giroud (9' pen.), Leao (48')
Tomori (19'), Loftus-Cheek (34'), Okafor (90+7')
Tomori (61')

Form Guide

>

Hellas Verona 0-1 AC Milan

>

AC Milan 0-0 Genoa

>

AC Milan 2-1 Red Star

>

Atalanta 2-1 AC Milan

>

AC Milan 6-1 Sassuolo

>

AC Milan 3-0 Empoli

>

>

Roma 4-1 Sampdoria

>

>

>

>

Roma 0-2 Atalanta

Live Scores

World Cup Qualifying - Europe

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

World Cup Qualifying - South America

Club Friendlies

World Cup Qualifying - South America

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Uruguayan Primera Division

> Fixtures > Table

Gallagher Premiership

> Fixtures > Table

Tables header RHS

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Napoli	38	24	10	4	59	27	32	82
2	Inter Milan	38	24	9	5	79	35	44	81
3	Atalanta BC Atalanta	38	22	8	8	78	37	41	74
4	Juventus	38	18	16	4	58	35	23	70
5	Roma	38	20	9	9	56	35	21	69
6	Fiorentina	38	19	8	11	60	41	19	65
7	Lazio	38	18	11	9	61	49	12	65
8	AC Milan	38	18	9	11	61	43	18	63
9	Bologna	38	16	14	8	57	47	10	62
10	Como	38	13	10	15	49	52	-3	49
11	Torino	38	10	14	14	39	45	-6	44
12	Udinese	38	12	8	18	41	56	-15	44
13	Genoa	38	10	13	15	37	49	-12	43
14	Hellas Verona Hellas Verona	38	10	7	21	34	66	-32	37
15	Cagliari Cagliari	38	9	9	20	40	56	-16	36
16	Parma	38	7	15	16	44	58	-14	36
17	Lecce	38	8	10	20	27	58	-31	34
18	Empoli	38	6	13	19	33	59	-26	31
19	Venezia Venezia	38	5	14	19	32	56	-24	29
R	Monza	38	3	9	26	28	69	-41	18
					> Serie A Full Table

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