Serie A | Gameweek 18
Dec 29, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan1 - 1Roma
We said: AC Milan 1-1 Roma
Only Atalanta and Inter have had more touches in the opposition area than Roma and Milan this season, and neither side is particularly secure at the back, so there could be several chances. On home turf, the Rossoneri tend to keep things a little tighter, but they have been hit by injuries and their visitors boast enough inventive attackers to score at least once. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 60.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Roma had a probability of 17.59%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Roma |
60.75% ( 0.11) | 21.66% ( -0.02) | 17.59% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 51.71% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
