Europa League

Europa League | League Stage

Dec 12, 2024 at 5.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
3 - 0
Braga

Pellegrini (11'), Abdul Hamid (47'), Hermoso (90+1')
Hummels (73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Fernandes (32'), Carvalhal (48'), Horta (50')
Magalhaes (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Roma and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Roma 4-1 Lecce
Saturday, December 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Braga

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Braga 2-2 Estoril
Friday, December 6 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 48.5%. A win for Roma had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-0 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Braga
27.23% ( -0.6)	24.27% ( -0.4)	48.5% ( 1)

Both teams to score 56.2% (

0.85)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.1% (

1.34)

45.9% (

-1.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.79% (

1.26)

68.21% (

-1.26)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.39% (

0.25)

30.61% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.15% (

0.3)

66.85% (

-0.3)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.99% (

0.94)

19.01% (

-0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.43% (

1.54)

50.57% (

-1.55)

Score Analysis

Roma 27.23%

Braga 48.5%

Draw 24.26%

Roma	Draw	Braga
1-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.06) Other @ 3% Total : 27.23%	1-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.26%	0-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.25% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 4.44% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 2.18% ( 0.15) 0-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.21% Total : 48.5%