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Europa League

Olympiacos
Europa League | League Stage
Oct 3, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Georgios Karaiskaki
Braga

Olympiacos
3 - 0
Braga

El Kaabi (45', 59'), Hezze (53')
Retsos (43'), Hezze (63'), Ortega (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Carvalho (45+2'), Ferreira (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Olympiacos and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Olympiacos

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Olympiacos 2-0 Atromitos
Sunday, September 29 at 4pm in Greek Superleague

Braga

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Braga 4-0 Rio Ave
Sunday, September 29 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Braga had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.

Result
OlympiacosDrawBraga
41.98% (0.311 0.31)25.46% (0.121 0.12)32.55% (-0.434 -0.43)
Both teams to score 55.29% (-0.558 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.52% (-0.66 -0.66)48.48% (0.657 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.39% (-0.604 -0.6)70.61% (0.602 0.6)
Olympiacos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.03% (-0.136 -0.14)22.97% (0.133 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.25% (-0.197 -0.2)56.75% (0.194 0.19)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.77% (-0.59999999999999 -0.6)28.23% (0.598 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.07% (-0.76000000000001 -0.76)63.93% (0.759 0.76)
Score Analysis
    Olympiacos 41.98%
    Braga 32.55%
    Draw 25.46%
OlympiacosDrawBraga
1-0 @ 9.54% (0.219 0.22)
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.02% (0.135 0.14)
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.44% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.27% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 41.98%
1-1 @ 12.06% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.48% (0.174 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.46%
0-1 @ 8.2% (0.084 0.08)
1-2 @ 7.63% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-2 @ 5.19% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.22% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.19% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 32.55%

How you voted: Olympiacos vs Braga

Olympiacos
47.2%
Draw
23.6%
Braga
29.2%
106