Europa League

Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 15, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Stade de Geneve

Servette
1 - 2
Braga

(Braga win 2-1 on aggregate)

Kutesa (90+1')
Antunes (62'), Douline (62'), Crivelli (85')

FT(HT: 0-1)

El Ouazzani (45+1'), Fernandez (69')
Zalazar (65'), Fernandez (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Servette and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Servette

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Servette 0-6 Basel
Sunday, August 11 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Braga

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Braga 1-1 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, August 11 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for Servette had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Servette win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Braga in this match.

Result
Servette	Draw	Braga
32.05% ( -0.24)	24.38% ( -0.53)	43.56% ( 0.76)

Both teams to score 58.79% (

1.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.17% (

2.31)

43.82% (

-2.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.78% (

2.22)

66.21% (

-2.23)

Servette Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.73% (

0.97)

26.27% (

-0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.61% (

1.29)

61.38% (

-1.29)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.74% (

1.31)

20.26% (

-1.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.39% (

2.06)

52.6% (

-2.06)

Score Analysis

Servette 32.05%

Braga 43.56%

Draw 24.38%

Servette	Draw	Braga
2-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.53) 2-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.35% Total : 32.05%	1-1 @ 11.35% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.56) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.38%	1-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.52) 0-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 4.83% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.24) 1-4 @ 1.93% ( 0.16) 0-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.9% Total : 43.56%