Potential new EL header

Europa League

Braga
Europa League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 22, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga

Braga
2 - 1
Rapid Vienna

Carvalho (33'), Zalazar (71')
Carvalho (31'), Bambu (59')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Burgstaller (25')
Auer (45+2'), Schaub (77')
Grgic (2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Braga and Rapid Vienna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Boavista 0-1 Braga
Sunday, August 18 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Rapid Vienna

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Rapid Vienna 2-0 Swarovski
Sunday, August 18 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 49.68%. A win for Rapid Vienna had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Rapid Vienna win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Braga in this match.

Result
BragaDrawRapid Vienna
49.68% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)23.22% (0.026 0.03)27.1% (0.055 0.05)
Both teams to score 59.68% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.74% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)41.26% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.35% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)63.65% (0.077000000000005 0.08)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.22% (-0.059000000000012 -0.06)16.78% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.27% (-0.105 -0.11)46.73% (0.103 0.1)
Rapid Vienna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.71%28.29% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.99% (0.00099999999999767 0)64.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Braga 49.68%
    Rapid Vienna 27.1%
    Draw 23.21%
BragaDrawRapid Vienna
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
1-0 @ 8.47% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.68% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.5% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.59% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.54% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 49.68%
1-1 @ 10.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.75% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.21%
1-2 @ 6.75% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.99% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.78% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.84% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.59% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 27.1%

How you voted: Braga vs Rapid Vienna

Braga
80.2%
Draw
15.5%
Rapid Vienna
4.3%
116