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Europa League

Braga
Europa League | League Stage
Oct 23, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga

Braga
1 - 2
Bodo/Glimt

Niakate (64')
Moutinho (21'), Niakate (66'), Oliveira (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Evjen (53'), Schmidt Nielsen (90+4')
Zinckernagel (36'), Fet (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Europa League clash between Braga and Bodo/Glimt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: 1e Dezembro 1-2 Braga
Saturday, October 19 at 5.30pm in Taca de Portugal

Bodo/Glimt

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Tromso 0-0 Bodo/Glimt
Saturday, October 19 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 49.87%. A win for Bodo/Glimt had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.43%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Bodo/Glimt win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
BragaDrawBodo/Glimt
49.87% (-4.202 -4.2)22.48% (1.004 1)27.64% (3.192 3.19)
Both teams to score 62.79% (-0.411 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.63% (-1.937 -1.94)37.36% (1.93 1.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.42% (-2.114 -2.11)59.57% (2.106 2.11)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.72% (-2.042 -2.04)15.27% (2.035 2.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.03% (-3.972 -3.97)43.97% (3.967 3.97)
Bodo/Glimt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.1% (1.266 1.27)25.89% (-1.272 -1.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.12% (1.68 1.68)60.88% (-1.687 -1.69)
Score Analysis
    Braga 49.87%
    Bodo/Glimt 27.64%
    Draw 22.48%
BragaDrawBodo/Glimt
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.147 -0.15)
1-0 @ 7.43% (0.16 0.16)
2-0 @ 6.98% (-0.37 -0.37)
3-1 @ 5.91% (-0.55 -0.55)
3-0 @ 4.37% (-0.582 -0.58)
3-2 @ 3.99% (-0.217 -0.22)
4-1 @ 2.78% (-0.489 -0.49)
4-0 @ 2.05% (-0.451 -0.45)
4-2 @ 1.88% (-0.252 -0.25)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.278 -0.28)
Other @ 4%
Total : 49.87%
1-1 @ 10.04% (0.565 0.57)
2-2 @ 6.37% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 3.95% (0.359 0.36)
3-3 @ 1.8% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 22.48%
1-2 @ 6.78% (0.608 0.61)
0-1 @ 5.34% (0.658 0.66)
0-2 @ 3.61% (0.557 0.56)
1-3 @ 3.06% (0.372 0.37)
2-3 @ 2.87% (0.158 0.16)
0-3 @ 1.63% (0.299 0.3)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.158 0.16)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 27.64%

How you voted: Braga vs Bodo/Glimt

Braga
68.2%
Draw
20.0%
Bodo/Glimt
11.8%
110
rhs 2.0
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