Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 15

Dec 7, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
4 - 1
Lecce

Saelemaekers (13'), Mancini (59'), Pisilli (66'), Kone (86')
Saelemaekers (12'), Kone (87')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Krstovic (40' pen.)
Krstovic (69'), Kaba (72'), Oudin (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Roma and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Roma 0-2 Atalanta
Monday, December 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Juventus
Sunday, December 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 53.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 21.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Lecce
53.29% ( -0.07)	25.43% ( 0.03)	21.28% ( 0.04)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Napoli	38	24	10	4	59	27	32	82
2	Inter Milan	38	24	9	5	79	35	44	81
3	Atalanta BC Atalanta	38	22	8	8	78	37	41	74
4	Juventus	38	18	16	4	58	35	23	70
5	Roma	38	20	9	9	56	35	21	69
6	Fiorentina	38	19	8	11	60	41	19	65
7	Lazio	38	18	11	9	61	49	12	65
8	AC Milan	38	18	9	11	61	43	18	63
9	Bologna	38	16	14	8	57	47	10	62
10	Como	38	13	10	15	49	52	-3	49
11	Torino	38	10	14	14	39	45	-6	44
12	Udinese	38	12	8	18	41	56	-15	44
13	Genoa	38	10	13	15	37	49	-12	43
14	Hellas Verona Hellas Verona	38	10	7	21	34	66	-32	37
15	Cagliari Cagliari	38	9	9	20	40	56	-16	36
16	Parma	38	7	15	16	44	58	-14	36
17	Lecce	38	8	10	20	27	58	-31	34
18	Empoli	38	6	13	19	33	59	-26	31
19	Venezia Venezia	38	5	14	19	32	56	-24	29
R	Monza	38	3	9	26	28	69	-41	18
					> Serie A Full Table

Roma	Draw	Lecce
1-0 @ 13.51% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.56% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.26% Total : 53.27%	1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0) Other @ 0.69% Total : 25.42%	0-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.22% 0-3 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 1.19% Total : 21.28%

Serie A

Roma4 - 1Lecce

The Match

Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

Lecce

Data Analysis

How you voted: Roma vs Lecce

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Roma
4 - 1
Lecce