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Serie A header desktop

Serie A

Napoli logo
Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 26, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Lecce logo

Napoli
1 - 0
Lecce

Di Lorenzo (73')
Ngonge (19'), Di Lorenzo (51'), Rebic (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pierotti (77'), Rebic (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 0-1 Napoli
Sunday, October 20 at 11.30am in Serie A

Lecce

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 0-6 Fiorentina
Sunday, October 20 at 2pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 73.61%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 9.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.7%) and 3-0 (10.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
NapoliDrawLecce
73.61% (-0.097000000000008 -0.1)16.88% (0.048999999999999 0.05)9.51% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 44.56% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.06% (-0.061 -0.06)42.94% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.66% (-0.061 -0.06)65.34% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.85% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)10.15% (0.042 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.62% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)33.38% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.59% (0.064 0.06)50.4% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.06% (0.047000000000001 0.05)84.94% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 73.58%
    Lecce 9.51%
    Draw 16.88%
NapoliDrawLecce
2-0 @ 13.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 11.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 10.2% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.99% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 5.84% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.67% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.83% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-0 @ 1.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 73.58%
1-1 @ 8.02% (0.023 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.12% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.14% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 16.88%
0-1 @ 3.51% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 2.75% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.2% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 9.51%

How you voted: Napoli vs Lecce

Napoli
90.2%
Draw
7.1%
Lecce
2.7%
112
Head to Head
May 26, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 38
Napoli
0-0
Lecce
> Preview
Sep 30, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 7
Lecce
0-4
Napoli

Gallo (36'), Ramadani (57'), D'Aversa (67'), Gonzalez (81')
Skiri Oestigaard (16'), Osimhen (51'), Gaetano (88'), Politano (90+4' pen.)
Simeone (17'), Kvaratskhelia (33')
> Preview
Apr 7, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 29
Lecce
1-2
Napoli
Di Francesco (52')
Di Lorenzo (18'), Gallo (64' og.)
> Preview
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Napoli
1-1
Lecce
Elmas (27')
Colombo (31')
> Preview
Feb 9, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 23
Napoli
2-3
Lecce
Milik (48'), Callejon (90')
Koulibaly (37'), Zielinski (57'), Milik (73'), Rui (80'), Demme (84')
Lapadula (29', 61'), Mancosu (82')
Rispoli (66'), Vigorito (78'), Petriccione (85')