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Serie A | Gameweek 4
Sep 15, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Lecce logo

Torino
0 - 0
Lecce

FT

Pierret (23'), Morente (45+1'), Rafia (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Torino and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Venezia 0-1 Torino
Friday, August 30 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-0 Cagliari
Saturday, August 31 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Torino 1-1 Lecce

Despite Torino's admirable start to the new campaign, Lecce have been better travellers under Gotti, underscored by two road defeats — at San Siro against Milan (3-0) and Inter (2-0) — in six compared to three defeats in seven on their turf. Thus, the former midfielder will back his side to avoid losing in Turin and avoid a fifth consecutive league loss against the Granata. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 48.35%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 23.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
TorinoDrawLecce
48.35% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06) 28.03% (0.0030000000000001 0) 23.62% (0.058 0.06)
Both teams to score 42.23% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.48% (0.021000000000001 0.02)62.52% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.88% (0.013999999999999 0.01)82.12% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.9% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)26.1% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.85% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)61.15% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.14% (0.066000000000003 0.07)42.85% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.83% (0.056999999999999 0.06)79.17% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Torino 48.34%
    Lecce 23.62%
    Draw 28.03%
TorinoDrawLecce
1-0 @ 15.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.09% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.55% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.52% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.83% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 1.62% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 48.34%
1-1 @ 12.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 28.03%
0-1 @ 9.48% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.39% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.02% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.52% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.02% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 23.62%

How you voted: Torino vs Lecce

Torino
79.5%
Draw
16.7%
Lecce
3.8%
78
Head to Head
Feb 16, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 25
Torino
2-0
Lecce
Bellanova (50'), Zapata (81')
Djidji (44')

Pongracic (41'), Blin (51'), Dorgu (78')
Pongracic (70')
Oct 28, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 10
Lecce
0-1
Torino

Gendrey (35'), Rafia (40'), Gallo (78')
Buongiorno (41')
Gineitis (10'), Linetty (25'), Lazaro (35'), Rodriguez (71'), Tameze (90+4')
Juric (90+6')
Mar 12, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 26
Lecce
0-2
Torino
Singo (20'), Sanabria (23')
Sep 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Torino
1-0
Lecce
Vlasic (40')
Feb 2, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 22
Lecce
4-0
Torino
Deiola (11'), Barak (19'), Falco (64'), Lapadula (78' pen.)
Majer (33'), Deiola (43'), Lapadula (76')

N'Koulou (12'), Meite (18'), Aina (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli34228454252974
2Inter Milan34218572333971
3Atalanta BCAtalanta34198767313665
4Juventus341614451312062
5Bologna341613552371561
6Roma34179849321760
7Lazio34179857451260
8Fiorentina34178953341959
9AC Milan341591053381554
10Torino341013113839-143
11Como34119144448-442
12Udinese34118153648-1241
13Genoa34912132941-1239
14CagliariCagliari3489173549-1433
15Parma34614144053-1332
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3495203062-3232
17Lecce3469192456-3227
18VeneziaVenezia34413172748-2125
19Empoli34413172754-2725
20Monza3429232559-3415


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