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Serie A

Lecce logo
Serie A | Gameweek 3
Aug 31, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Cagliari logo

Lecce
1 - 0
Cagliari

Krstovic (26')
Falcone (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Zappa (24'), Lapadula (48'), Marin (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Lecce
Saturday, August 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Cagliari

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 1-1 Como
Monday, August 26 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 36.5%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
LecceDrawCagliari
36.12% (0.501 0.5)27.37% (0.111 0.11)36.5% (-0.613 -0.61)
Both teams to score 49.73% (-0.337 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.14% (-0.428 -0.43)55.85% (0.427 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.03% (-0.35 -0.35)76.97% (0.349 0.35)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.4% (0.096999999999994 0.1)29.6% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.36% (0.119 0.12)65.63% (-0.121 -0.12)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.63% (-0.578 -0.58)29.36% (0.577 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.65% (-0.714 -0.71)65.34% (0.71299999999999 0.71)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 36.12%
    Cagliari 36.5%
    Draw 27.37%
LecceDrawCagliari
1-0 @ 10.58% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 7.89% (0.047 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.44% (0.14 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.2% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.61% (0.064 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.98% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 36.12%
1-1 @ 12.96% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.69% (0.142 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.37%
0-1 @ 10.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.95% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-2 @ 6.53% (-0.103 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.25% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.67% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 36.5%

How you voted: Lecce vs Cagliari

Lecce
16.3%
Draw
23.3%
Cagliari
60.5%
43
Head to Head
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Cagliari
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Lecce
Mina (26')
Ranieri (44'), Scuffet (64'), Nandez (74'), Deiola (77'), Deiola (78'), Augello (78')
Gaetano (42'), Gaetano (44')
Krstovic (84')
Piccoli (14'), Sansone (54'), Ramadani (56'), Baschirotto (74')
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Jan 6, 2024 5pm
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Lecce
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Cagliari
Gendrey (31')
Espeto (67')
Oristanio (68')
Dossena (35')
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Cagliari
0-0
Lecce
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Nov 25, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 13
Lecce
2-2
Cagliari
Lapadula (82' pen.), Calderoni (91')
Petriccione (68'), Farias (95')
Lapadula (85')
Pedro (30' pen.), Nainggolan (67')
Lykogiannis (21'), Rog (45')
Cacciatore (81'), Olsen (85')