MX23RW : Monday, August 12 22:40:00| >> :600:216606:216606:
Lecce logo
Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 12, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Lecce
2 - 1
Mantova

Gaspar (14'), Krstovic (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bragantini (73')
Solini (29'), Fiori (50'), Burrai (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Coppa Italia clash between Lecce and Mantova, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions
Last Game: Lecce 2-3 Nice
Sunday, August 4 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3

Mantova

All competitions
Coppa Italia
Last Game: Sassari Torres 1-2 Mantova
Saturday, August 3 at 7.30pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Lecce 3-2 Mantova

 Given Mantova's attacking approach, it could be an absorbing cup contest on Monday evening, but Lecce have built a capable squad over the past couple of years and should make a successful return to action. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lecce win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Mantova has a probability of 33.24% and a draw has a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Mantova win is 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.89%).

Result
LecceDrawMantova
42.92% (-1.115 -1.11) 23.84% (0.282 0.28) 33.24% (0.834 0.83)
Both teams to score 61.24% (-0.7 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.17% (-1.056 -1.06)40.83% (1.059 1.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.78% (-1.089 -1.09)63.21% (1.09 1.09)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.69% (-0.901 -0.9)19.3% (0.902 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.94% (-1.505 -1.51)51.05% (1.504 1.5)
Mantova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.88% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)24.11% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.58% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)58.41% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 42.92%
    Mantova 33.24%
    Draw 23.84%
LecceDrawMantova
2-1 @ 8.96% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
1-0 @ 7.66% (0.152 0.15)
2-0 @ 6.3% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.91% (-0.189 -0.19)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-0 @ 3.45% (-0.131 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.02% (-0.139 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.42% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 42.92%
1-1 @ 10.89% (0.21 0.21)
2-2 @ 6.37% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.65% (0.221 0.22)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.84%
1-2 @ 7.75% (0.144 0.14)
0-1 @ 6.62% (0.311 0.31)
0-2 @ 4.71% (0.218 0.22)
1-3 @ 3.67% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.02% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.23% (0.102 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.31% (0.023 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 33.24%

How you voted: Lecce vs Mantova

Lecce
90.4%
Draw
1.9%
Mantova
7.7%
52
rhs 2.0
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