

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Arouca has a probability of 28.57% and a draw has a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Arouca win is 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.06%).
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 28.57% ( | 25.38% ( | 46.05% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.15% ( | 49.85% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.16% ( | 71.84% ( |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.34% ( | 31.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.92% ( | 68.08% ( |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.35% ( | 21.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.23% ( | 54.77% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Arouca | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 7.88% ( 2-1 @ 6.94% ( 2-0 @ 4.53% ( 3-1 @ 2.66% ( 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 3-0 @ 1.74% ( Other @ 2.79% Total : 28.57% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0-0 @ 6.85% ( 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 10.48% ( 1-2 @ 9.23% ( 0-2 @ 8.03% ( 1-3 @ 4.71% ( 0-3 @ 4.09% ( 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0-4 @ 1.57% ( 2-4 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.39% Total : 46.04% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Porto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Sporting Lisbon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | BoavistaBoavista | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | AVS | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Braga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Nacional | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Estrela Amadora | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | SC FarenseFarense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | AroucaArouca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Rio AveRio Ave | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Benfica | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Gil Vicente | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
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