Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 37.65%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Arouca |
37.65% (![]() | 26.31% (![]() | 36.04% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.18% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.49% (![]() | 51.5% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.69% (![]() | 73.31% (![]() |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.39% (![]() | 26.61% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.17% (![]() | 61.83% (![]() |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.46% (![]() | 27.54% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.95% (![]() | 63.05% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Arouca |
1-0 @ 9.7% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.28% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.42% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.66% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.84% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.21% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.25% Total : 37.65% | 1-1 @ 12.51% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.33% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.34% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 9.45% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.07% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.09% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.47% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.62% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.3% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 2.93% Total : 36.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |