

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 69.08%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 13.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 3-1 (7.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.61%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 69.08% ( | 17.1% ( | 13.82% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.03% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.24% ( | 31.76% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.72% ( | 53.28% ( |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.67% ( | 8.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 70.96% ( | 29.04% ( |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.39% ( | 35.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.62% ( | 72.38% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 2-0 @ 9.16% ( 3-1 @ 7.84% ( 3-0 @ 7.59% ( 1-0 @ 7.37% ( 4-1 @ 4.87% ( 4-0 @ 4.72% ( 3-2 @ 4.05% ( 4-2 @ 2.51% ( 5-1 @ 2.42% ( 5-0 @ 2.34% ( 5-2 @ 1.25% ( 6-1 @ 1% ( 6-0 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 3.53% Total : 69.08% | 1-1 @ 7.61% ( 2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0-0 @ 2.97% ( 3-3 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 0.25% Total : 17.1% | 1-2 @ 3.93% ( 0-1 @ 3.06% ( 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0-2 @ 1.58% ( 1-3 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 2.21% Total : 13.82% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 63 | 30 | 33 | 74 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 96 | 37 | 59 | 73 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 65 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 61 | 44 | 17 | 62 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 60 | 44 | 16 | 54 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 54 | 34 | 20 | 53 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 53 | 50 | 3 | 48 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 40 |
| 9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 39 |
| 10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 38 |
| 11 | Groningen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 38 |
| 12 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 38 |
| 13 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 37 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 35 |
| 15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 33 | 54 | -21 | 32 |
| 16 | Willem II | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 25 |
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 39 | 69 | -30 | 22 |
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | 62 | -41 | 20 |
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