Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-0 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Almere City | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam | 
| 29.19% (  0.16) | 24.95% (  0.03) | 45.85% (  -0.2) | 
| Both teams to score 55.36% (  0.01) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 52.34% (  -0.04) | 47.65% (  0.03) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 30.15% (  -0.03) | 69.85% (  0.03) | 
| Almere City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 69.92% (  0.1) | 30.08% (  -0.1) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.78% (  0.12) | 66.21% (  -0.12) | 
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.17% (  -0.1) | 20.83% (  0.1) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.5% (  -0.16) | 53.5% (  0.16) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Almere City | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam | 
| 1-0 @ 7.53% (  0.03) 2-1 @ 7.09% (  0.03) 2-0 @ 4.52% (  0.03) 3-1 @ 2.84% (  0.02) 3-2 @ 2.23% (  0.01) 3-0 @ 1.81% (  0.02) Other @ 3.18% Total : 29.19% | 1-1 @ 11.8% (  0.01) 0-0 @ 6.26% (  0.01) 2-2 @ 5.56% (  0) 3-3 @ 1.17% (  0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 9.83% (  -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.26% (  -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.71% (  -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.84% (  -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.03% (  -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.91% (  -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.9% (  -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.58% (  -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.14% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 45.85% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 31 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 74 | 
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 93 | 35 | 58 | 70 | 
| 3 | Feyenoord | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 72 | 33 | 39 | 65 | 
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 62 | 
| 5 | FC Twente | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 51 | 
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 34 | 17 | 50 | 
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 | 
| 8 | Heerenveen | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 | 
| 9 | Groningen | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 38 | 
| 10 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 38 | 
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 36 | 
| 12 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 35 | 
| 13 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 34 | 
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 34 | 
| 15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 32 | 
| 16 | Willem II | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 25 | 
| 17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 20 | 
| 18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 19 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
