Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 58.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 19.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.74%) and 0-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for an Almere City win it was 2-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Almere City | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 19.79% ( | 21.7% ( | 58.5% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.65% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.66% ( | 42.33% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.26% ( | 64.74% ( |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.83% ( | 35.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.08% ( | 71.91% ( |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.82% ( | 14.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.14% ( | 41.86% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Almere City | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 2-1 @ 5.32% ( 1-0 @ 5.21% ( 2-0 @ 2.72% ( 3-1 @ 1.85% ( 3-2 @ 1.81% ( 3-0 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.93% Total : 19.79% | 1-1 @ 10.17% ( 2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0-0 @ 4.98% ( 3-3 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.69% | 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0-1 @ 9.74% ( 0-2 @ 9.51% ( 1-3 @ 6.48% ( 0-3 @ 6.2% ( 2-3 @ 3.39% ( 1-4 @ 3.16% ( 0-4 @ 3.03% ( 2-4 @ 1.65% ( 1-5 @ 1.24% ( 0-5 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 3% Total : 58.51% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 103 | 39 | 64 | 79 |
| 2 | Ajax | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 78 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 76 | 38 | 38 | 68 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 62 | 45 | 17 | 64 |
| 5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 57 |
| 6 | FC Twente | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 54 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 55 | 2 | 51 |
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 43 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 57 | -15 | 43 |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 41 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 41 |
| 12 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 39 |
| 13 | Groningen | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 39 |
| 14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 38 |
| 15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 34 | 58 | -24 | 33 |
| 16 | Willem II | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 26 |
| R | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 44 | 74 | -30 | 25 |
| R | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 23 | 64 | -41 | 22 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
