

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.67%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | FC Twente |
| 41.62% ( | 24.03% ( | 34.35% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.87% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.54% ( | 41.45% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.14% ( | 63.85% ( |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.86% ( | 20.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.59% ( | 52.41% ( |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.22% ( | 23.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.06% ( | 57.94% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | FC Twente |
| 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 1-0 @ 7.67% ( 2-0 @ 6.15% ( 3-1 @ 4.72% ( 3-2 @ 3.39% ( 3-0 @ 3.29% ( 4-1 @ 1.89% ( 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 4-0 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 3% Total : 41.62% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0-0 @ 4.79% ( 3-3 @ 1.62% ( Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.03% | 1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0-1 @ 6.88% ( 0-2 @ 4.94% ( 1-3 @ 3.79% ( 2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0-3 @ 2.37% ( 1-4 @ 1.36% ( 2-4 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 2.97% Total : 34.35% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 103 | 39 | 64 | 79 |
| 2 | Ajax | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 78 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 76 | 38 | 38 | 68 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 62 | 45 | 17 | 64 |
| 5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 57 |
| 6 | FC Twente | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 54 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 55 | 2 | 51 |
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 43 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 57 | -15 | 43 |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 41 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 41 |
| 12 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 39 |
| 13 | Groningen | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 39 |
| 14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 38 |
| 15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 34 | 58 | -24 | 33 |
| 16 | Willem II | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 26 |
| R | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 44 | 74 | -30 | 25 |
| R | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 23 | 64 | -41 | 22 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
