MX23RW : Monday, April 28 17:57:58| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 30
Apr 27, 2025 at 1.30pm UK
Amsterdam ArenA
Sparta Rotterdam logo

Ajax
1 - 1
Sparta

Regeer (90+7')
Rugani (52')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nassoh (90+5')
van Aanholt (27'), Kitolano (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Utrecht 4-0 Ajax
Sunday, April 20 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 3-1 Heerenveen
Saturday, April 12 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 2-1 Sparta Rotterdam

While Sparta have been the most improved team in the Eredivisie over the last couple of months, Ajax have been incredible on their home patch all season, and we feel the hosts will add another win to their exceptional record this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 54%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 24.2% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
AjaxDrawSparta Rotterdam
54% (0.067999999999998 0.07) 21.8% (-0.225 -0.23) 24.2% (0.158 0.16)
Both teams to score 61.72% (1.015 1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.77% (1.249 1.25)37.24% (-1.247 -1.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.56% (1.336 1.34)59.44% (-1.334 -1.33)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.13% (0.452 0.45)13.87% (-0.449 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.73% (0.883 0.88)41.27% (-0.88 -0.88)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.66% (0.809 0.81)28.34% (-0.806 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.93% (1.008 1.01)64.07% (-1.006 -1.01)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 54%
    Sparta Rotterdam 24.2%
    Draw 21.8%
AjaxDrawSparta Rotterdam
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-0 @ 7.76% (-0.347 -0.35)
2-0 @ 7.67% (-0.213 -0.21)
3-1 @ 6.37% (0.072 0.07)
3-0 @ 5.05% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-2 @ 4.02% (0.134 0.13)
4-1 @ 3.15% (0.086 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.49% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.98% (0.097 0.1)
5-1 @ 1.24% (0.053 0.05)
5-0 @ 0.99% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 54%
1-1 @ 9.79% (-0.209 -0.21)
2-2 @ 6.1% (0.106 0.11)
0-0 @ 3.93% (-0.242 -0.24)
3-3 @ 1.69% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.8%
1-2 @ 6.17% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.96% (-0.189 -0.19)
0-2 @ 3.13% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.56% (0.101 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.31% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 24.2%

How you voted: Ajax vs Sparta

Ajax
96.6%
Draw
3.4%
Sparta Rotterdam
0.0%
29
Head to Head
Dec 22, 2024 11.15am
Gameweek 17
Sparta
0-2
Ajax

Clement (25'), van Aanholt (90')
Taylor (77' pen.), Traore (87')
Henderson (90')
Mar 17, 2024 3.45pm
Gameweek 26
Sparta
2-2
Ajax
Verschueren (28', 47')
Akpom (65'), Bergwijn (88')
Taylor (89')
Kaplan (90+4')
Dec 9, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 15
Ajax
2-1
Sparta
Brobbey (8'), Bergwijn (42' pen.)
Neghli (55')
de Guzman (68')
Feb 19, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 22
Ajax
4-0
Sparta
Tadic (6', 64' pen.), Taylor (27'), Kudus (84')
Aug 21, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 3
Sparta
0-1
Ajax

de Guzman (14')
Bergwijn (37')
Alvarez (32')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax31235363273674
2PSV EindhovenPSV30214589345567
3Feyenoord30188468323662
4FC UtrechtUtrecht31188561421962
5FC Twente30139856441248
6AZ AlkmaarAZ30138948341447
7Go Ahead Eagles3013895246647
8Heerenveen31117133953-1440
9Fortuna SittardSittard30106143449-1536
10Sparta RotterdamSparta30811113437-335
11Groningen3098133245-1335
12Heracles30811113752-1535
13NECNijmegen3096154244-233
14NAC BredaNAC Breda3088143250-1832
15PEC Zwolle30710133548-1331
16Willem II3066183050-2024
17Almere CityAlmere City3148192159-3820
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3047193562-2719


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!