MX23RW : Sunday, April 27 21:17:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2025 at 1.30pm UK
Philips Stadion
Ajax

PSV
0 - 2
Ajax


Lang (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Klaassen (35'), Traore (67')
Brobbey (36'), Taylor (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 2-2 AZ
Sunday, March 16 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 2-2 Ajax

While PSV have experienced a notable dip in league form over the last couple of months, they have still maintained their unbeaten record at home this season and will know that a win here will be crucial to their hopes of regaining the lead in the league standings. Ajax were absolutely flying in the Eredivisie before the international break, and while they would likely love nothing more than to take all three points in this contest, we feel there will be nothing to split these two on the scoreline at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 52.52%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.44%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawAjax
52.52% (-3.727 -3.73) 20.9% (1.215 1.22) 26.58% (2.515 2.52)
Both teams to score 67.76% (-1.864 -1.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.53% (-3.499 -3.5)30.46% (3.501 3.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.25% (-4.304 -4.3)51.75% (4.306 4.31)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.99% (-2.126 -2.13)12.01% (2.129 2.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.53% (-4.712 -4.71)37.47% (4.713 4.71)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.01% (-0.249 -0.25)22.99% (0.252 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.21% (-0.369 -0.37)56.79% (0.371 0.37)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 52.52%
    Ajax 26.58%
    Draw 20.9%
PSV EindhovenDrawAjax
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.203 0.2)
3-1 @ 6.44% (-0.437 -0.44)
2-0 @ 6.2% (0.183 0.18)
1-0 @ 5.85% (0.652 0.65)
3-2 @ 4.73% (-0.358 -0.36)
3-0 @ 4.38% (-0.262 -0.26)
4-1 @ 3.41% (-0.567 -0.57)
4-2 @ 2.51% (-0.438 -0.44)
4-0 @ 2.32% (-0.365 -0.37)
5-1 @ 1.45% (-0.396 -0.4)
4-3 @ 1.23% (-0.226 -0.23)
5-2 @ 1.06% (-0.301 -0.3)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.259 -0.26)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 52.52%
1-1 @ 8.6% (0.901 0.9)
2-2 @ 6.7% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 2.76% (0.515 0.52)
3-3 @ 2.32% (-0.194 -0.19)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 20.9%
1-2 @ 6.32% (0.619 0.62)
0-1 @ 4.06% (0.732 0.73)
2-3 @ 3.28% (0.025 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.283 0.28)
0-2 @ 2.98% (0.519 0.52)
0-3 @ 1.46% (0.245 0.25)
2-4 @ 1.21%
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 26.58%

How you voted: PSV vs Ajax

PSV Eindhoven
47.7%
Draw
36.4%
Ajax
15.9%
44
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2024 5.45pm
Gameweek 11
Ajax
3-2
PSV
Klaassen (43'), Fitz-Jim (66'), Godts (74')
Brobbey (70'), Berghuis (90+3')
De Jong (18'), Perisic (54')
Flamingo (23'), Karsdorp (76'), de Jong (90+5')
Feb 3, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 20
Ajax
1-1
PSV
Berghuis (19')
Hato (26')
De Jong (34')
Schouten (72'), Ramalho (76'), Lozano (77')
Oct 29, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 10
PSV
5-2
Ajax
Lozano (20', 60', 72'), De Jong (49'), Saibari (52')
Saibari (90')
Van den Boomen (10'), Brobbey (40')
Hato (13'), Bergwijn (62')
Apr 30, 2023 5pm
Final
Ajax
1-1
PSV
(Aggregate 1-1 | PSV win 3-2 on penalties)
Branthwaite (42' og.)
Hazard (67')
Apr 23, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 30
PSV
3-0
Ajax
De Jong (13', 78'), Simons (54' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax31235363273674
2PSV EindhovenPSV30214589345567
3Feyenoord30188468323662
4FC UtrechtUtrecht31188561421962
5FC Twente30139856441248
6AZ AlkmaarAZ30138948341447
7Go Ahead Eagles3013895246647
8Heerenveen31117133953-1440
9Fortuna SittardSittard30106143449-1536
10Sparta RotterdamSparta30811113437-335
11Groningen3098133245-1335
12Heracles30811113752-1535
13NECNijmegen3096154244-233
14NAC BredaNAC Breda3088143250-1832
15PEC Zwolle30710133548-1331
16Willem II3066183050-2024
17Almere CityAlmere City3148192159-3820
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3047193562-2719


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