MX23RW : Sunday, April 20 20:15:02| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Eredivisie | Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2025 at 1.30pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
Ajax

Almere City
0 - 1
Ajax


Lawrence (54')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Taylor (8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feyenoord 2-1 Almere City
Saturday, February 22 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 2-0 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, February 23 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Almere City 0-2 Ajax

While the hosts have shown more resilience in tough tests in recent weeks and the visitors are hampered by several important injuries, we do not see Almere City halting Ajax's winning run and back Farioli's side to put a ninth straight three-point haul on the board on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 75.8%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 8.39%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.47%) and 0-3 (10.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.5%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-0 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Almere CityDrawAjax
8.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01) 15.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01) 75.8% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 43.52% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.36% (0.012999999999998 0.01)41.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.96% (0.013000000000005 0.01)64.04% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.98% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)52.02% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.98% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)86.02% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.71% (0.012 0.01)9.28% (-0.0071000000000012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.65% (0.022000000000006 0.02)31.35% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 8.39%
    Ajax 75.79%
    Draw 15.8%
Almere CityDrawAjax
1-0 @ 3.16% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-1 @ 2.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 8.39%
1-1 @ 7.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 4.83% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 2.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 15.8%
0-2 @ 13.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 11.47%
0-3 @ 10.8%
1-2 @ 8.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 7.06%
0-4 @ 6.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 4.2% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-5 @ 3.05% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-5 @ 2% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.37%
0-6 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 75.79%

How you voted: Almere City vs Ajax

Almere City
14.7%
Draw
11.8%
Ajax
73.5%
34
Head to Head
Dec 15, 2024 3.45pm
Gameweek 16
Ajax
3-0
Almere City
Weghorst (12'), Taylor (40'), Fitz-Jim (55')
Rensch (57')

Jacobs (50'), Kadile (66')
May 12, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 33
Ajax
3-0
Almere City
Bergwijn (29', 34', 38')
Mannsverk (26'), Kaplan (45+3'), Hato (62')

Akujobi (10'), van Bruggen (52')
Nov 12, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 12
Almere City
2-2
Ajax
Ritmeester van de Kamp (67'), Robinet (90+3' pen.)
Jacobs (7'), van Bruggen (15'), Robinet (15'), Resink (75'), Koopmeiners (90+5')
Akpom (68'), Tahirovic (82')
Brobbey (15'), Rensch (90+1')
Jul 31, 2022 1pm
Club Friendlies
Almere City
1-1
Ajax
Jacobs (47')
Brobbey (35')
Fitz-Jim (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax30234362263673
2PSV EindhovenPSV29204586335364
3Feyenoord29178464323259
4FC UtrechtUtrecht30178557421559
5FC Twente29139755411448
6AZ AlkmaarAZ29137947331446
7Go Ahead Eagles2913795246646
8Heerenveen30107133853-1537
9Heracles29811103648-1235
10Sparta RotterdamSparta29810113336-334
11NECNijmegen2996144243-133
12Fortuna SittardSittard2996143349-1633
13Groningen2988132844-1632
14PEC Zwolle29710123544-931
15NAC BredaNAC Breda2987143149-1831
16Willem II2966173049-1924
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2947183558-2319
18Almere CityAlmere City3047192159-3819


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!