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Europa League

Ajax
Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 20, 2025 at 8pm UK
Amsterdam ArenA

Ajax
1 - 2
Union SG

Taylor (93' pen.)
Rosa (32'), Gaaei (59'), Henderson (60'), Henderson (62'), Kaplan (71'), Taylor (101'), Hato (120+5')
FT
(aet)
Mac Allister (16'), Akinpelu (28' pen.)
Boufal (59'), Sadiki (73'), Khalaili (93'), Mac Allister (99'), Burgess (105'), Van de Perre (120+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Ajax and Union SG, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Ajax 4-0 Heracles
Sunday, February 16 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Union SG

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Union SG 0-1 Mechelen
Sunday, February 16 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Union SG win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%).

Result
AjaxDrawUnion SG
44.83% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)24.83% (0.010999999999999 0.01)30.33% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 56.41% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.42% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)46.58% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.15% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)68.85% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.17% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)20.83% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.49% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)53.51% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.26% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)28.74% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.42% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)64.58% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 44.83%
    Union SG 30.33%
    Draw 24.83%
AjaxDrawUnion SG
1-0 @ 9.39% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.37%
3-1 @ 4.8% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.85% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 44.83%
1-1 @ 11.71% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.99% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.83%
0-1 @ 7.47% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.65% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.03%
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.93% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 30.33%

How you voted: Ajax vs Union SG

Ajax
88.7%
Draw
7.1%
Union SG
4.2%
168
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2025 5.45pm
Knockout Round Playoffs 1st Leg
Union SG
0-2
Ajax

Mac Allister (79')
Rasmussen (59'), Mokio (71')
Mokio (62')
> Preview
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