Potential new EL header

Europa League

Ajax
Europa League | League Stage
Dec 12, 2024 at 8pm UK
Amsterdam ArenA
Lazio logo

Ajax
1 - 3
Lazio

Traore (47')
Hato (38'), Brobbey (45+1'), Weghorst (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tchaouna (12'), Dele-Bashiru (52'), Pedro (77')
Rovella (45+2'), Pellegrini (46'), Gigot (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Ajax and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: AZ 2-1 Ajax
Sunday, December 8 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Lazio

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Napoli 0-1 Lazio
Sunday, December 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 57.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 18.92%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawLazio
57.95% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)23.12%18.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.58% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.32% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)49.68% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.3% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)71.69% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.13% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)16.87% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)46.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.64% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)40.35% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.02% (-0.023 -0.02)76.97% (0.02000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 57.95%
    Lazio 18.92%
    Draw 23.12%
AjaxDrawLazio
1-0 @ 12.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 6.4% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-1 @ 5.8% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 2.85% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.58% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.01%
5-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 57.95%
1-1 @ 10.99%
0-0 @ 6.81% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 23.12%
0-1 @ 6.18%
1-2 @ 4.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 2.8% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.51% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 18.92%

How you voted: Ajax vs Lazio

Ajax
30.3%
Draw
23.1%
Lazio
46.7%
195
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


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