Ajax

5 - 0

M. Tel Aviv

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 64.34%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Maccabi Tel Aviv had a probability of 16.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 1-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.93%), while for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.