Potential new EL header

Europa League

Europa League | League Stage
Oct 24, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Stadion Partizana
Real Sociedad logo

M. Tel Aviv
1 - 2
Real Sociedad

Turgeman (81')
Pinto Batista (37'), Davida (74'), van Overeem (80'), Yehezkel (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pacheco (19'), Gomez (64')
Kubo (13'), Lopez (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Maccabi Tel Aviv and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maccabi Tel Aviv

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: M. Tel Aviv 2-0 M. Haifa
Saturday, October 19 at 6.30pm in Israeli Premier League

Real Sociedad

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Girona 0-1 Real Sociedad
Saturday, October 19 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Maccabi Tel Aviv had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.

Result
Maccabi Tel AvivDrawReal Sociedad
30.01% (-2.503 -2.5)25.8% (-2.627 -2.63)44.19% (5.132 5.13)
Both teams to score 53.06% (6.921 6.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.13% (9.246 9.25)50.87% (-9.244 -9.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.25% (7.576 7.58)72.75% (-7.574 -7.57)
Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.85% (3.011 3.01)31.14% (-3.008 -3.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.52% (3.37 3.37)67.47% (-3.368 -3.37)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.06% (6.988 6.99)22.94% (-6.986 -6.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.28% (9.317 9.32)56.71% (-9.316 -9.32)
Score Analysis
    Maccabi Tel Aviv 30.01%
    Real Sociedad 44.18%
    Draw 25.8%
Maccabi Tel AvivDrawReal Sociedad
1-0 @ 8.33% (-2.646 -2.65)
2-1 @ 7.16% (0.041 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.86% (-1.038 -1.04)
3-1 @ 2.78% (0.235 0.24)
3-2 @ 2.05% (0.512 0.51)
3-0 @ 1.89% (-0.222 -0.22)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 30.01%
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.97 -0.97)
0-0 @ 7.14% (-3.076 -3.08)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.977 0.98)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.387 0.39)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 10.51% (-1.82 -1.82)
1-2 @ 9.03% (1.042 1.04)
0-2 @ 7.74% (0.305 0.31)
1-3 @ 4.43% (1.22 1.22)
0-3 @ 3.8% (0.809 0.81)
2-3 @ 2.59% (0.86 0.86)
1-4 @ 1.63% (0.663 0.66)
0-4 @ 1.4% (0.497 0.5)
2-4 @ 0.95% (0.431 0.43)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 44.18%

How you voted: M. Tel Aviv vs Real Sociedad

Maccabi Tel Aviv
14.8%
Draw
23.0%
Real Sociedad
62.3%
122