La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 9

Oct 6, 2024 at 8pm UK

Reale Arena

Real Sociedad
1 - 1
Atletico

Sucic (84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Alvarez (1')
Lenglet (55'), Galan (80'), Simeone (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Sociedad and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Sociedad

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-2 Anderlecht
Thursday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Benfica 4-0 Atletico
Wednesday, October 2 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Real Sociedad	Draw	Atletico Madrid
35.85% ( 0.42)	27.1% ( 0.03)	37.05% ( -0.45)

Both teams to score 50.57% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.2% (

-0.1)

54.8% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.9% (

-0.08)

76.1% (

0.08)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.75% (

0.21)

29.25% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.8% (

0.26)

65.2% (

-0.26)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.48% (

-0.31)

28.52% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.7% (

-0.39)

64.3% (

0.39)

Score Analysis

Real Sociedad 35.84%

Atletico Madrid 37.04%

Draw 27.1%

Real Sociedad	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 10.25% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.53% Total : 35.84%	1-1 @ 12.86% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.1%	0-1 @ 10.46% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.7% Total : 37.04%