La Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 6, 2024 at 8pm UK
Reale Arena
Real Sociedad1 - 1Atletico
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-2 Anderlecht
Thursday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Thursday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League
We said: Real Sociedad 1-2 Atletico Madrid
Atletico will have been wounded by their four-goal loss to Benfica, and Simeone will be demanding a response from his players this weekend. Real Sociedad have not been able to settle into the new campaign, and we are backing Atletico to edge a close match on Sunday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
35.85% ( 0.42) | 27.1% ( 0.03) | 37.05% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 50.57% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
