

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Atletico Madrid | 
| 33.78% (  0.01) | 27.57% (  0.16) | 38.65% (  -0.17) | 
| Both teams to score 48.91% (  -0.49) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 43.21% (  -0.62) | 56.78% (  0.62) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 22.28% (  -0.5) | 77.72% (  0.5) | 
| Celta Vigo Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 68.44% (  -0.31) | 31.56% (  0.31) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.04% (  -0.36) | 67.95% (  0.36) | 
| Atletico Madrid Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.46% (  -0.4) | 28.54% (  0.4) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.67% (  -0.5) | 64.33% (  0.5) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Atletico Madrid | 
| 1-0 @ 10.38% (  0.15) 2-1 @ 7.51% (  -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.99% (  0.04) 3-1 @ 2.89% (  -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.3% (  -0) 3-2 @ 1.81% (  -0.04) Other @ 2.89% Total : 33.77% | 1-1 @ 13.02% (  0.05) 0-0 @ 9.01% (  0.21) 2-2 @ 4.71% (  -0.07) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.57% | 0-1 @ 11.29% (  0.15) 1-2 @ 8.17% (  -0.06) 0-2 @ 7.08% (  0.01) 1-3 @ 3.41% (  -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.96% (  -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.97% (  -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.07% (  -0.03) 0-4 @ 0.93% (  -0.02) Other @ 1.77% Total : 38.64% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 102 | 39 | 63 | 88 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 84 | 
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 68 | 30 | 38 | 76 | 
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 70 | 
| 5 | Villarreal | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 70 | 
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 60 | 
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 55 | 
| 8 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 | 
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 52 | 
| 10 | Mallorca | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 48 | 
| 11 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 46 | 
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 46 | 
| 13 | Getafe | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 | 
| 14 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 42 | 
| 15 | Espanyol | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 | 
| 16 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 41 | 
| 17 | GironaGirona | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 41 | 
| 18 | Leganes | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 40 | 
| R | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 32 | 
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 90 | -64 | 16 | 
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