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La Liga | Gameweek 7
Sep 26, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
Atletico Madrid logo

Celta Vigo
0 - 1
Atletico


Starfelt (33'), Rodriguez Galiano (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Alvarez (90')
Mandava (38'), Gimenez (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 3-1 Celta Vigo
Sunday, September 22 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Celta Vigo 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Celta may be unbeaten in nine consecutive home matches, but they do tend to struggle in meetings with Atletico, and we think that the visitors will ultimately have the extra quality required to edge out their hosts and clinch a seventh successive head-to-head victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
Celta VigoDrawAtletico Madrid
33.78% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 27.57% (0.163 0.16) 38.65% (-0.171 -0.17)
Both teams to score 48.91% (-0.49400000000001 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.21% (-0.622 -0.62)56.78% (0.621 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.28% (-0.498 -0.5)77.72% (0.499 0.5)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.44% (-0.309 -0.31)31.56% (0.311 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.04% (-0.358 -0.36)67.95% (0.35899999999999 0.36)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.46% (-0.396 -0.4)28.54% (0.397 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.67% (-0.501 -0.5)64.33% (0.501 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 33.77%
    Atletico Madrid 38.64%
    Draw 27.57%
Celta VigoDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 10.38% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 7.51% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.99% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.89% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.3% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 33.77%
1-1 @ 13.02% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 9.01% (0.213 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.57%
0-1 @ 11.29% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-2 @ 7.08% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.41% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.96% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 38.64%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Atletico

Celta Vigo
15.8%
Draw
14.2%
Atletico Madrid
69.9%
183
Head to Head
May 12, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 35
Atletico
1-0
Celta Vigo
De Paul (84')
Witsel (72')

Starfelt (36')
Oct 21, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 10
Celta Vigo
0-3
Atletico

Mingueza (30'), Starfelt (51'), Rodriguez (87')
Villar (25')
Griezmann (29' pen., 64', 70')
Niguez (54'), Riquelme (87')
Feb 12, 2023 3.15pm
Sep 10, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Atletico
4-1
Celta Vigo
Correa (9'), De Paul (50'), Carrasco (66'), Nunez (82' og.)
Veiga (71')
Feb 26, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 26
Atletico
2-0
Celta Vigo
Lodi (36', 60')
Savic (12'), Gimenez (15'), Oblak (20'), Mandava (50')

Aspas (17'), Araujo (71'), Galhardo (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBarcelona382846102396388
2Real Madrid38266678384084
3Atletico MadridAtletico382210668303876
4Athletic Bilbao381913654292570
5Villarreal382010871512070
6Real BetisBetis381612105750760
7Celta Vigo38167155957255
8Osasuna381216104852-452
9Rayo Vallecano381313124145-452
10Mallorca38139163544-948
11Valencia381113144454-1046
12Real Sociedad38137183546-1146
13Getafe38119183439-542
14AlavesAlaves381012163848-1042
15Espanyol38119184051-1142
16Sevilla381011174255-1341
17GironaGirona38118194460-1641
18Leganes38913163956-1740
RLas PalmasLas Palmas3888224061-2132
RReal ValladolidValladolid3844302690-6416


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