La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 2

Aug 25, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Civitas Metropolitano

Atletico
3 - 0
Girona

Griezmann (39'), Llorente (48'), Koke (90+4')
De Paul (26')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ruiz (28'), Gazzaniga (38'), Romeu (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Villarreal 2-2 Atletico
Monday, August 19 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Girona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Betis 1-1 Girona
Thursday, August 15 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Girona had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Girona
46.37% ( -0.04)	24.58% ( 0.01)	29.05% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 56.5% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.88% (

-0.04)

46.12% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.58% (

-0.04)

68.42% (

0.04)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.02% (

-0.03)

19.98% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.85% (

-0.05)

52.15% (

0.06)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.6% (

-0)

29.4% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.61% (

-0)

65.38% (

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 46.37%

Girona 29.05%

Draw 24.57%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Girona
1-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.62% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 2.91% Total : 46.37%	1-1 @ 11.57% 0-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.57%	0-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.09% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0) Other @ 3.35% Total : 29.05%