

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Barcelona | 
| 43.97% (  -1.75) | 23.6% (  0.44) | 32.42% (  1.31) | 
| Both teams to score 61.77% (  -0.97) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 60.01% (  -1.54) | 39.99% (  1.53) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 37.64% (  -1.61) | 62.35% (  1.6) | 
| Girona Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 81.48% (  -1.31) | 18.51% (  1.31) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.26% (  -2.26) | 49.73% (  2.25) | 
| Barcelona Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.8% (  0.03) | 24.19% (  -0.04) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.47% (  0.05) | 58.52% (  -0.06) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Girona | Draw | Barcelona | 
| 2-1 @ 9.04% (  -0.11) 1-0 @ 7.55% (  0.22) 2-0 @ 6.37% (  -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.08% (  -0.29) 3-2 @ 3.61% (  -0.2) 3-0 @ 3.58% (  -0.21) 4-1 @ 2.14% (  -0.22) 4-2 @ 1.52% (  -0.15) 4-0 @ 1.51% (  -0.16) Other @ 3.56% Total : 43.97% | 1-1 @ 10.72% (  0.32) 2-2 @ 6.42% (  -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.48% (  0.31) 3-3 @ 1.71% (  -0.09) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.6% | 1-2 @ 7.61% (  0.23) 0-1 @ 6.36% (  0.45) 0-2 @ 4.51% (  0.32) 1-3 @ 3.6% (  0.12) 2-3 @ 3.04% (  -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.13% (  0.15) 1-4 @ 1.28% (  0.04) 2-4 @ 1.08% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 32.42% | 
 
 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 | 
| 2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 | 
| 3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 | 
| 4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 | 
| 5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 | 
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 | 
| 7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 | 
| 8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 | 
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 | 
| 10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 | 
| 11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 | 
| 12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 | 
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 | 
| 14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 | 
| 15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 | 
| 16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 | 
| 17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 | 
| R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 | 
| R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 | 
| R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 | 
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