Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 70.08%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Girona had a probability of 12.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Girona win it was 1-2 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona | Draw | Girona |
| 70.08% ( | 17.37% ( | 12.55% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.92% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.61% ( | 36.39% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.48% ( | 58.52% ( |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.7% ( | 9.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 68.61% ( | 31.39% ( |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.45% ( | 40.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.85% ( | 77.15% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona | Draw | Girona |
| 2-0 @ 10.63% ( 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 1-0 @ 8.96% ( 3-0 @ 8.42% ( 3-1 @ 7.6% ( 4-0 @ 5% ( 4-1 @ 4.51% ( 3-2 @ 3.43% ( 5-0 @ 2.38% ( 5-1 @ 2.14% ( 4-2 @ 2.04% ( 5-2 @ 0.97% ( 6-0 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 3.45% Total : 70.07% | 1-1 @ 8.09% ( 2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0-0 @ 3.77% ( 3-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.37% | 1-2 @ 3.65% ( 0-1 @ 3.4% ( 0-2 @ 1.54% ( 2-3 @ 1.3% ( 1-3 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 1.56% Total : 12.55% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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