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La Liga | Gameweek 38
May 25, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Reale Arena
Atletico Madrid logo

Real Sociedad
0 - 2
Atletico


Pacheco (45+2'), Mendez (57'), Ander Olasagasti (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lino (9'), Mandava (90+3')
Vermeeren (41'), Koke (45'), Niguez (80'), Mandava (87')
Niguez (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Sociedad and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Real Sociedad 1-1 Atletico Madrid

Both teams are merely playing for pride in this fixture, but they will want to end the campaign on a positive note, particularly the hosts in front of their own supporters. Atletico have got the better of Real Sociedad in recent meetings, but as there is little to separate these two evenly-matched sides at present, we can see Alguacil's men claiming at least a share of the spoils this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Real SociedadDrawAtletico Madrid
41.53% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 26.43% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 32.04% (0.12 0.12)
Both teams to score 51.96% (0.176 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.3% (0.205 0.2)52.7% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.66% (0.175 0.18)74.34% (-0.172 -0.17)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.94% (0.054000000000002 0.05)25.06% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.26% (0.072000000000003 0.07)59.74% (-0.07 -0.07)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.34% (0.187 0.19)30.66% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.09% (0.21700000000001 0.22)66.91% (-0.214 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 41.52%
    Atletico Madrid 32.04%
    Draw 26.43%
Real SociedadDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 10.63% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.7%
2-0 @ 7.36% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.01% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 41.52%
1-1 @ 12.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.68% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 9.08% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.43% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.37% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.93% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.12% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.03% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 32.04%

How you voted: Real Sociedad vs Atletico

Real Sociedad
36.7%
Draw
22.2%
Atletico Madrid
41.1%
90
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 9
Atletico
2-1
Real Sociedad
Lino (22'), Griezmann (89' pen.)
Koke (48'), Galan (90+6'), Griezmann (90+6')
Oyarzabal (73')
Le Normand (15'), Traore (86'), Fernandez (87')
Aug 3, 2023 2am
Club Friendlies
Atletico
0-0
Real Sociedad
Hermoso (33')
Zubeldia (14'), Le Normand (33'), Pacheco (54+54'), Pacheco (54')
May 28, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 37
Atletico
2-1
Real Sociedad
Griezmann (37'), Molina (73')
De Paul (60'), Hermoso (63')
Sorloth (88')
Merino (27'), Elustondo (54')
Sep 3, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
Real Sociedad
1-1
Atletico
Sadiq (55')
Zubimendi (28'), Cho (35'), Zubeldia (57'), Gorosabel (72'), Merino (90+7')
Morata (5')
Niguez (12'), De Paul (24'), Llorente (35'), Simeone (45+6'), Morata (61')
May 22, 2022 9pm
Gameweek 38
Real Sociedad
1-2
Atletico
Guridi (90+3')
Le Normand (13'), Rafinha (36'), Merino (53'), Portu (76')
De Paul (50'), Correa (68')
Griezmann (45+2'), Savic (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona34254591335879
2Real Madrid34236569333675
3Atletico MadridAtletico341910556272967
4Athletic Bilbao341613550262461
5Villarreal341610860471358
6Real BetisBetis34169952421057
7Rayo Vallecano351211123742-547
8Celta Vigo34137145252046
9Valencia351112124351-845
10Osasuna341014104250-844
11Mallorca34128143139-844
12Real Sociedad34127153237-543
13Getafe35109163134-339
14Espanyol34109153644-839
15Sevilla34911143746-938
16GironaGirona34108164152-1138
17AlavesAlaves34811153546-1135
18Las PalmasLas Palmas3588194057-1732
19Leganes34613153251-1931
20Real ValladolidValladolid3444262583-5816


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