Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
41.53% (![]() | 26.43% (![]() | 32.04% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.96% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.3% (![]() | 52.7% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.66% (![]() | 74.34% (![]() |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.94% (![]() | 25.06% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.26% (![]() | 59.74% (![]() |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.34% (![]() | 30.66% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.09% (![]() | 66.91% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 10.63% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.7% 2-0 @ 7.36% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.01% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.39% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.37% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.39% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 2.5% Total : 41.52% | 1-1 @ 12.57% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.68% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.14% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 9.08% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.43% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.37% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.93% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.12% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.03% ( ![]() Other @ 3.09% Total : 32.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |