

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Atletico Madrid | 
| 41.53% (  -0.08) | 26.43% (  -0.04) | 32.04% (  0.12) | 
| Both teams to score 51.96% (  0.18) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 47.3% (  0.2) | 52.7% (  -0.2) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 25.66% (  0.18) | 74.34% (  -0.17) | 
| Real Sociedad Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 74.94% (  0.05) | 25.06% (  -0.05) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.26% (  0.07) | 59.74% (  -0.07) | 
| Atletico Madrid Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 69.34% (  0.19) | 30.66% (  -0.18) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.09% (  0.22) | 66.91% (  -0.21) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Atletico Madrid | 
| 1-0 @ 10.63% (  -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.7% 2-0 @ 7.36% (  -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.01% (  0.01) 3-0 @ 3.39% (  -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.37% (  0.02) 4-1 @ 1.39% (  0) 4-0 @ 1.17% (  -0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 41.52% | 1-1 @ 12.57% (  -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.68% (  -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.14% (  0.03) 3-3 @ 0.93% (  0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 9.08% (  -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.43% (  0.03) 0-2 @ 5.37% (  0.01) 1-3 @ 2.93% (  0.03) 0-3 @ 2.12% (  0.02) 2-3 @ 2.03% (  0.02) Other @ 3.09% Total : 32.04% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 91 | 33 | 58 | 79 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 69 | 33 | 36 | 75 | 
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 56 | 27 | 29 | 67 | 
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 50 | 26 | 24 | 61 | 
| 5 | Villarreal | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 60 | 47 | 13 | 58 | 
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 57 | 
| 7 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 47 | 
| 8 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 46 | 
| 9 | Valencia | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 45 | 
| 10 | Osasuna | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 44 | 
| 11 | Mallorca | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 44 | 
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 43 | 
| 13 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 39 | 
| 14 | Espanyol | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 39 | 
| 15 | Sevilla | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 38 | 
| 16 | GironaGirona | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 38 | 
| 17 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 35 | 
| 18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 32 | 
| 19 | Leganes | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 31 | 
| 20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 83 | -58 | 16 | 
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