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Minnesota United
Major League Soccer
May 10, 2025 at 9.30pm UK
Allianz Field
Inter Miami

Minnesota Utd
4 - 1
Inter Miami

Hlongwane (32'), Markanich (45+2'), Weigandt (68' og.), Lod (70')
Boxall (45')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Messi (48')
Lujan (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS clash between Minnesota United and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Austin 0-3 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, May 4 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Minnesota United 1-2 Inter Miami

Despite Minnesota United having home advantage and having recorded back-to-back wins heading into the weekend, we see the visitors having too much quality throughout their ranks on Saturday and back Inter Miami to leave with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 44.08%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawInter Miami
44.08% (-0.14599999999999 -0.15) 24.53% (0.035999999999998 0.04) 31.38% (0.111 0.11)
Both teams to score 57.98% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.24% (-0.126 -0.13)44.76% (0.127 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.88% (-0.122 -0.12)67.12% (0.124 0.12)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.59% (-0.117 -0.12)20.41% (0.118 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.15% (-0.187 -0.19)52.85% (0.187 0.19)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.85% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)27.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.46% (0.011000000000003 0.01)62.54% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 44.08%
    Inter Miami 31.38%
    Draw 24.53%
Minnesota UnitedDrawInter Miami
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.81% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 7% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.83% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.71% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.92% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 44.08%
1-1 @ 11.48% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.54% (0.03 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.53%
1-2 @ 7.49% (0.018 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.23% (0.042 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.71% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.25% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.05% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 31.38%

How you voted: Minnesota Utd vs Inter Miami

Minnesota United
0.0%
Draw
15.0%
Inter Miami
85.0%
20
Head to Head
May 17, 2020 1am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1483324121227
2Columbus Crew147522218426
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati158252121026
4Inter MiamiInter Miami137332619724
5New York City FCNY City157352017324
6Nashville SCNashville146442417722
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC147162218422
8Chicago Fire156452828022
9Orlando City145632518721
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146352115621
11New England RevolutionNew England136341510521
12DC United144461526-1116
13Toronto143471619-313
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta153481727-1013
15CF MontrealMontreal141310725-186

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1484225131228
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle145542318520
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145272722517
8Dallas144551522-717
9Austin FCAustin14527817-917
10St Louis City143471118-713
11Houston DynamoHouston143471422-813
12Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144191321-813
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas133281923-411
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy131481229-177
15San Diego FC00000000


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