MX23RW : Wednesday, June 4 22:05:50| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Austin FC
Major League Soccer
May 4, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Q2 Stadium
Minnesota United

Austin
0 - 3
Minnesota Utd


Hines-Ike (69')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Sanchez (22' og.), Markanich (35'), Pereyra (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS clash between Austin FC and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Houston 2-0 Austin
Sunday, April 27 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-3 Vancouver
Sunday, April 27 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 1-1 Minnesota United

Goals have been hard to come by for the teams in recent games, but we can see both of them finding the back of the net here en route to a share of the spoils at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Austin FCDrawMinnesota United
44.84% (0.567 0.57) 24.95% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 30.21% (-0.601 -0.6)
Both teams to score 55.94% (-0.42299999999999 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.83% (-0.41 -0.41)47.16% (0.406 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.6% (-0.382 -0.38)69.4% (0.38 0.38)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.92% (0.082999999999998 0.08)21.07% (-0.087 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.11% (0.131 0.13)53.89% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.88% (-0.613 -0.61)29.12% (0.608 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.95% (-0.761 -0.76)65.05% (0.756 0.76)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 44.84%
    Minnesota United 30.21%
    Draw 24.95%
Austin FCDrawMinnesota United
1-0 @ 9.56% (0.186 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.18% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.44% (0.164 0.16)
3-1 @ 4.76% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.86% (0.095 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.041 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 44.84%
1-1 @ 11.78% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.14% (0.104 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.95%
0-1 @ 7.57%
1-2 @ 7.27% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-2 @ 4.67% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.99% (-0.095 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 30.21%

How you voted: Austin vs Minnesota Utd

Austin FC
60.0%
Draw
40.0%
Minnesota United
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Jun 23, 2024 1.30am
Minnesota Utd
0-1
Austin

Tapias (12'), Dotson (25'), Lod (90+2')
Dotson (26')
Rubio (31')
Obrian (49'), Fodrey (59')
Feb 25, 2024 1.30am
Austin
1-2
Minnesota Utd
Biro (90+4')
Valencia (70'), Rubio (84')
Lod (34'), Bran (90')
Rosales (56'), Clark (82')
Jul 9, 2023 1.30am
Minnesota Utd
1-4
Austin
Padelford (85')
Dotson (54')
Fagundez (35'), Driussi (45' pen., 51'), Rigoni (90+5')
Pereira (81')
Jun 1, 2023 1.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1483324121227
2Columbus Crew147522218426
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati158252121026
4Inter MiamiInter Miami137332619724
5New York City FCNY City157352017324
6Nashville SCNashville146442417722
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC147162218422
8Chicago Fire156452828022
9Orlando City145632518721
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146352115621
11New England RevolutionNew England136341510521
12DC United144461526-1116
13Toronto143471619-313
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta153481727-1013
15CF MontrealMontreal141310725-186

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1484225131228
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle145542318520
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145272722517
8Dallas144551522-717
9Austin FCAustin14527817-917
10St Louis City143471118-713
11Houston DynamoHouston143471422-813
12Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144191321-813
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas133281923-411
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy131481229-177
15San Diego FC00000000


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