Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.