MX23RW : Monday, May 5 01:25:01| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Austin FC
Major League Soccer
May 4, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Q2 Stadium
Minnesota United

Austin
0 - 3
Minnesota Utd


Hines-Ike (69')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Sanchez (22' og.), Markanich (35'), Pereyra (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS clash between Austin FC and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Houston 2-0 Austin
Sunday, April 27 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-3 Vancouver
Sunday, April 27 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 1-1 Minnesota United

Goals have been hard to come by for the teams in recent games, but we can see both of them finding the back of the net here en route to a share of the spoils at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Austin FCDrawMinnesota United
44.84% (-0.397 -0.4) 24.95% (0.192 0.19) 30.21% (0.204 0.2)
Both teams to score 55.94% (-0.532 -0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.83% (-0.748 -0.75)47.16% (0.747 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.6% (-0.7 -0.7)69.4% (0.699 0.7)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.92% (-0.486 -0.49)21.07% (0.485 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.11% (-0.762 -0.76)53.89% (0.762 0.76)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.88% (-0.236 -0.24)29.12% (0.233 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.95% (-0.291 -0.29)65.05% (0.289 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 44.84%
    Minnesota United 30.21%
    Draw 24.95%
Austin FCDrawMinnesota United
1-0 @ 9.56% (0.157 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.44% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.095 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.86% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.86% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.5% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 44.84%
1-1 @ 11.78% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 6.14% (0.19 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.95%
0-1 @ 7.57% (0.185 0.19)
1-2 @ 7.27% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.67% (0.085 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.99% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.92% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 30.21%

How you voted: Austin vs Minnesota Utd

Austin FC
60.0%
Draw
40.0%
Minnesota United
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Jun 23, 2024 1.30am
Minnesota Utd
0-1
Austin

Tapias (12'), Dotson (25'), Lod (90+2')
Dotson (26')
Rubio (31')
Obrian (49'), Fodrey (59')
Feb 25, 2024 1.30am
Austin
1-2
Minnesota Utd
Biro (90+4')
Valencia (70'), Rubio (84')
Lod (34'), Bran (90')
Rosales (56'), Clark (82')
Jul 9, 2023 1.30am
Minnesota Utd
1-4
Austin
Padelford (85')
Dotson (54')
Fagundez (35'), Driussi (45' pen., 51'), Rigoni (90+5')
Pereira (81')
Jun 1, 2023 1.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Columbus Crew117311810824
2Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1171321101122
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati117131513222
4Inter MiamiInter Miami106312011921
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC116141812619
6Nashville SCNashville115242014617
7Orlando City114521812617
8New York City FCNY City115241313017
9New England RevolutionNew England1051497216
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls114341213-115
11Chicago Fire113441822-413
12DC United113351323-1012
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta112451220-810
14Toronto11146816-87
15CF MontrealMontreal11038516-113

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver118212281426
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd115421510519
3Portland TimbersPortland115332119218
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles115241716117
5Seattle SoundersSeattle114431713416
6Colorado RapidsColorado114431516-116
7Austin FCAustin11515713-616
8Dallas114341419-515
9San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes114162420413
10Real Salt LakeSalt Lake114071217-512
11St Louis City11245812-410
12Houston DynamoHouston112451016-610
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas102171621-57
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy10037820-123
15San Diego FC00000000


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