We said: Austin FC 2-0 Los Angeles Galaxy
Although Austin were thrashed last time out, they were up against the top-of-the-division Whitecaps, while they face bottom-of-the-West Galaxy this weekend.
The hosts will be keen to get back to winning ways and their defensive solidity could make it difficult for the struggling Los Angelinos to find their footing.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.