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Austin FC
Major League Soccer
Apr 19, 2025 at 6.45pm UK
Q2 Stadium
LA Galaxy

Austin
1 - 0
LA Galaxy

Vazquez (81')
Hines-Ike (90+2')
Hines-Ike (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Parente (53'), Cerrillo (58'), Emiro Garces Torres (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS clash between Austin FC and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vancouver 5-1 Austin
Sunday, April 13 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-1 Houston
Sunday, April 13 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 2-0 Los Angeles Galaxy

Although Austin were thrashed last time out, they were up against the top-of-the-division Whitecaps, while they face bottom-of-the-West Galaxy this weekend. The hosts will be keen to get back to winning ways and their defensive solidity could make it difficult for the struggling Los Angelinos to find their footing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
47.13% (-0.421 -0.42) 23.9% (0.169 0.17) 28.96% (0.252 0.25)
Both teams to score 58.75% (-0.404 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.88% (-0.611 -0.61)43.13% (0.611 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.48% (-0.608 -0.61)65.53% (0.60799999999999 0.61)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.53% (-0.40600000000001 -0.41)18.47% (0.406 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.33% (-0.688 -0.69)49.67% (0.688 0.69)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.07% (-0.136 -0.14)27.94% (0.136 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.44% (-0.173 -0.17)63.56% (0.173 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 47.14%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 28.96%
    Draw 23.9%
Austin FCDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.72% (0.121 0.12)
2-0 @ 7.36% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.28% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-0 @ 4.14% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.23% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.75% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 47.14%
1-1 @ 11.11% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.99% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.16% (0.138 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.9%
1-2 @ 7.09% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
0-1 @ 6.58% (0.151 0.15)
0-2 @ 4.2% (0.081 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.01% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.78% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 28.96%

How you voted: Austin vs LA Galaxy

Austin FC
77.8%
Draw
11.1%
Los Angeles Galaxy
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2024 3.30am
LA Galaxy
2-1
Austin
Pec (31'), Joveljic (76')
Brugman (8'), Puig (14'), Delgado (60'), Micovic (61'), Joveljic (90+5'), Cerrillo (90+11')
Driussi (55')
Hines-Ike (26'), Pereira (31'), Cascante (50'), Wolff (87')
Biro (90+13')
Apr 27, 2024 6.45pm
Austin
2-0
LA Galaxy
Rubio (7'), Obrian (19')
Obrian (27'), Pereira (43'), Valencia (89')

Caceres (9'), Puig (22')
Sep 25, 2023 5.25am
Austin
3-3
LA Galaxy
Ring (11'), Finlay (45+6'), Rigoni (75')
Gallagher (3'), Vaisanen (30')
Puig (45+2' pen.), Joveljic (89'), Barrios (90+4')
Cerrillo (84')
Apr 23, 2023 3.30am
May 29, 2022 11pm
LA Galaxy
4-1
Austin
Hernandez (61'), Joveljic (64', 88'), Alvarez (90')
Raveloson (77'), Joveljic (79')
Fagundez (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati107121512322
2Columbus Crew10631148621
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia106131991019
4Charlotte FCCharlotte FC10613168819
5Inter MiamiInter Miami95311610618
6Nashville SCNashville105141913616
7Orlando City104421812616
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls10433119215
9New York City FCNY City104241213-114
10New England RevolutionNew England941477013
11Chicago Fire103341822-412
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta102351119-89
13DC United102351122-119
14Toronto10145814-67
15CF MontrealMontreal10037414-103

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver107212071323
2Portland TimbersPortland105322015518
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd104421210216
4Colorado RapidsColorado104421414016
5Austin FCAustin10514710-316
6Dallas104331414015
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104241516-114
8Seattle SoundersSeattle103431312113
9Real Salt LakeSalt Lake104061115-412
10San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes103162019110
11St Louis City1024478-110
12Houston DynamoHouston102441014-410
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas102171621-57
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy10037820-123
15San Diego FC00000000


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