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Minnesota United
Major League Soccer
Mar 22, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Allianz Field
LA Galaxy

Minnesota Utd
2 - 2
LA Galaxy

Yeboah (18', 87' pen.)
Sang-bin (12'), Romero (73')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ramirez (26'), Emiro Garces Torres (90')
Pec (45+2'), Wynder (56'), Fagundez (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kansas 3-3 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, March 16 at 12.15am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 1-1 LA Galaxy
Sunday, March 16 at 8.45pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Minnesota United 1-1 Los Angeles Galaxy

LA Galaxy are struggling for both confidence and goals at the moment, but a team of their calibre can never be entirely ruled out – however, given Minnesota's strong home form and recent home dominance in this fixture, the hosts should have enough to take something from this encounter, which is why we anticipate a closely contested affair ending in a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 49.31%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.4%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
49.31% (0.594 0.59) 22.57% (-0.1 -0.1) 28.12% (-0.492 -0.49)
Both teams to score 62.87% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.58% (0.134 0.13)37.42% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.36% (0.145 0.14)59.64% (-0.146 -0.15)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.51% (0.258 0.26)15.49% (-0.258 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.62% (0.48 0.48)44.38% (-0.48 -0.48)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (-0.25699999999999 -0.26)25.6% (0.258 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.52% (-0.352 -0.35)60.48% (0.352 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 49.31%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 28.12%
    Draw 22.56%
Minnesota UnitedDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.4% (0.018 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.9% (0.078 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.84% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
3-0 @ 4.29% (0.086 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.98% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.72% (0.059 0.06)
4-0 @ 2% (0.058 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.86% (0.027 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.02% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 49.31%
1-1 @ 10.07% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.4% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.97% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.81% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 22.56%
1-2 @ 6.87% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-1 @ 5.4% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.68% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.91% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.67% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 28.12%

How you voted: Minnesota Utd vs LA Galaxy

Minnesota United
60.0%
Draw
10.0%
Los Angeles Galaxy
30.0%
10
Head to Head
Nov 24, 2024 11.15pm
MLS Cup Conference Semi-Finals
LA Galaxy
6-2
Minnesota Utd
Pec (1', 50'), Joveljic (18', 89'), Paintsil (37', 86')
Paintsil (45'), Puig (58'), Delgado (90+4')
Yeboah (6', 45+4')
Hlongwane (53'), Dotson (62'), Abel Diaz Beleno (68')
Abel Diaz Beleno (82')
Jul 8, 2024 3.30am
LA Galaxy
2-1
Minnesota Utd
Pec (25', 90')
Nelson (20'), Puig (22')
Pukki (73')
Sang-bin (89')
May 16, 2024 1.30am
Oct 8, 2023 1.30am
Minnesota Utd
5-2
LA Galaxy
Dotson (33'), Pukki (45', 60', 67', 76')
Boyd (41'), Joveljic (82')
Yoshida (50')
Sep 21, 2023 3.30am
LA Galaxy
4-3
Minnesota Utd
Sharp (16', 63', 71'), Fagundez (82')
Boyd (54'), Sharp (67'), Delgado (81'), Edwards (90+1')
Pukki (19'), Hlongwane (41', 45+5')
Tapias (27'), Gregus (28'), Boxall (29'), Briston (54'), Tajouri (88')
Briston (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati107121512322
2Columbus Crew10631148621
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia106131991019
4Charlotte FCCharlotte FC10613168819
5Inter MiamiInter Miami95311610618
6Nashville SCNashville105141913616
7Orlando City104421812616
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls10433119215
9New York City FCNY City104241213-114
10New England RevolutionNew England941477013
11Chicago Fire103341822-412
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta102351119-89
13DC United102351122-119
14Toronto10145814-67
15CF MontrealMontreal10037414-103

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver107212071323
2Portland TimbersPortland105322015518
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd104421210216
4Colorado RapidsColorado104421414016
5Austin FCAustin10514710-316
6Dallas104331414015
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104241516-114
8Seattle SoundersSeattle103431312113
9Real Salt LakeSalt Lake104061115-412
10San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes103162019110
11St Louis City1024478-110
12Houston DynamoHouston102441014-410
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas102171621-57
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy10037820-123
15San Diego FC00000000


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