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Minnesota United
Major League Soccer
Mar 22, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Allianz Field
LA Galaxy

Minnesota Utd
2 - 2
LA Galaxy

Yeboah (18', 87' pen.)
Sang-bin (12'), Romero (73')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ramirez (26'), Emiro Garces Torres (90')
Pec (45+2'), Wynder (56'), Fagundez (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kansas 3-3 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, March 16 at 12.15am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 1-1 LA Galaxy
Sunday, March 16 at 8.45pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Minnesota United 1-1 Los Angeles Galaxy

LA Galaxy are struggling for both confidence and goals at the moment, but a team of their calibre can never be entirely ruled out – however, given Minnesota's strong home form and recent home dominance in this fixture, the hosts should have enough to take something from this encounter, which is why we anticipate a closely contested affair ending in a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 49.31%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.4%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
49.31% (0.594 0.59) 22.57% (-0.1 -0.1) 28.12% (-0.492 -0.49)
Both teams to score 62.87% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.58% (0.134 0.13)37.42% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.36% (0.145 0.14)59.64% (-0.146 -0.15)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.51% (0.258 0.26)15.49% (-0.258 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.62% (0.48 0.48)44.38% (-0.48 -0.48)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (-0.25699999999999 -0.26)25.6% (0.258 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.52% (-0.352 -0.35)60.48% (0.352 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 49.31%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 28.12%
    Draw 22.56%
Minnesota UnitedDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.4% (0.018 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.9% (0.078 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.84% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
3-0 @ 4.29% (0.086 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.98% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.72% (0.059 0.06)
4-0 @ 2% (0.058 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.86% (0.027 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.02% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 49.31%
1-1 @ 10.07% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.4% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.97% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.81% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 22.56%
1-2 @ 6.87% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-1 @ 5.4% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.68% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.91% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.67% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 28.12%

How you voted: Minnesota Utd vs LA Galaxy

Minnesota United
60.0%
Draw
10.0%
Los Angeles Galaxy
30.0%
10
Head to Head
Nov 24, 2024 11.15pm
MLS Cup Conference Semi-Finals
LA Galaxy
6-2
Minnesota Utd
Pec (1', 50'), Joveljic (18', 89'), Paintsil (37', 86')
Paintsil (45'), Puig (58'), Delgado (90+4')
Yeboah (6', 45+4')
Hlongwane (53'), Dotson (62'), Abel Diaz Beleno (68')
Abel Diaz Beleno (82')
Jul 8, 2024 3.30am
LA Galaxy
2-1
Minnesota Utd
Pec (25', 90')
Nelson (20'), Puig (22')
Pukki (73')
Sang-bin (89')
May 16, 2024 1.30am
Oct 8, 2023 1.30am
Minnesota Utd
5-2
LA Galaxy
Dotson (33'), Pukki (45', 60', 67', 76')
Boyd (41'), Joveljic (82')
Yoshida (50')
Sep 21, 2023 3.30am
LA Galaxy
4-3
Minnesota Utd
Sharp (16', 63', 71'), Fagundez (82')
Boyd (54'), Sharp (67'), Delgado (81'), Edwards (90+1')
Pukki (19'), Hlongwane (41', 45+5')
Tapias (27'), Gregus (28'), Boxall (29'), Briston (54'), Tajouri (88')
Briston (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1483324121227
2Columbus Crew147522218426
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati158252121026
4Inter MiamiInter Miami137332619724
5New York City FCNY City157352017324
6Nashville SCNashville146442417722
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC147162218422
8Chicago Fire156452828022
9Orlando City145632518721
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146352115621
11New England RevolutionNew England136341510521
12DC United144461526-1116
13Toronto143471619-313
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta153481727-1013
15CF MontrealMontreal141310725-186

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1484225131228
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle145542318520
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145272722517
8Dallas144551522-717
9Austin FCAustin14527817-917
10St Louis City143471118-713
11Houston DynamoHouston143471422-813
12Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144191321-813
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas133281923-411
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy131481229-177
15San Diego FC00000000


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