Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 58.73%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 20.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Minnesota United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Minnesota United.