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Minnesota United
Major League Soccer
Mar 2, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Field
Montreal Impact

Minnesota Utd
1 - 0
Montreal

Yeboah (69')
Oluwaseyi (49')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Jabang (43'), Marshall-Rutty (67'), Marshall-Rutty (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Los Angeles 1-0 Minnesota Utd
Saturday, February 22 at 9.45pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 3-2 Montreal
Sunday, February 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Minnesota United 1-0 CF Montreal

The Loons were strong defensively at home down the stretch of the 2024 regular season and playoffs, and we believe they will be able to shut down a Montreal side that are traditionally slow starters in the early stages of a new campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 58.73%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 20.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Minnesota United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Minnesota United.

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawCF Montreal
58.73% (0.384 0.38) 21.02% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06) 20.25% (-0.318 -0.32)
Both teams to score 58.79% (-0.331 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.45% (-0.19 -0.19)38.55% (0.197 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.15% (-0.203 -0.2)60.85% (0.208 0.21)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.13% (0.054000000000002 0.05)12.87% (-0.048 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.73% (0.105 0.1)39.27% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.48% (-0.417 -0.42)32.52% (0.42400000000001 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.95% (-0.471 -0.47)69.05% (0.48 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 58.73%
    CF Montreal 20.25%
    Draw 21.02%
Minnesota UnitedDrawCF Montreal
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.8% (0.114 0.11)
1-0 @ 8.58% (0.096 0.1)
3-1 @ 6.75% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.01% (0.089 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.79% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.46% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.08% (0.051 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.94% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.42% (0.01 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.26% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 58.73%
1-1 @ 9.64% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.19% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.02%
1-2 @ 5.41% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
0-1 @ 4.7% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.64% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.045 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.03% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-3 @ 0.99% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 20.25%

How you voted: Minnesota Utd vs Montreal

Minnesota United
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
CF Montreal
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Jun 11, 2023 12.30am
Montreal
4-0
Minnesota Utd
Toye (7', 57'), Brault-Guillard (13'), Camacho (76')
Saliba (16'), Lassiter (69'), Camacho (79'), Corbo (90+3'), Choiniere (90')

Heath (17'), Taylor (47'), Boxall (59')
Mar 21, 2020 7pm
Jul 7, 2019 12.30am
Montreal
2-3
Minnesota Utd
Jackson-Hamel (1'), Camacho (13')
Bush (45')
Toye (9', 47'), Finlay (45' pen.)
May 27, 2018 1am
Gameweek 15
Minnesota Utd
2-0
Montreal
Ramirez (52'), Ibarra (58')
Gomez (20'), Calvo (44')

Edwards (20')
Sep 17, 2017 12.30am
Montreal
2-3
Minnesota Utd
Bernier (9'), Dzemaili (55')
Dzemaili (53'), Piette (62'), Cabrera (90')
Molino (20' pen.), Ramirez (60'), Danladi (89')
Martin (2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1483324121227
2Columbus Crew147522218426
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati158252121026
4Inter MiamiInter Miami137332619724
5New York City FCNY City157352017324
6Nashville SCNashville146442417722
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC147162218422
8Chicago Fire156452828022
9Orlando City145632518721
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146352115621
11New England RevolutionNew England136341510521
12DC United144461526-1116
13Toronto143471619-313
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta153481727-1013
15CF MontrealMontreal141310725-186

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1484225131228
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle145542318520
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145272722517
8Dallas144551522-717
9Austin FCAustin14527817-917
10St Louis City143471118-713
11Houston DynamoHouston143471422-813
12Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144191321-813
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas133281923-411
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy131481229-177
15San Diego FC00000000


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