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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 58.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 18.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
Result | ||
CF Montreal | Draw | Minnesota United |
58.08% (![]() | 23.41% (![]() | 18.51% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.02% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.6% (![]() | 51.4% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.79% (![]() | 73.21% (![]() |
CF Montreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.56% (![]() | 17.44% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.1% (![]() | 47.9% (![]() |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.16% (![]() | 41.84% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.71% (![]() | 78.29% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
CF Montreal | Draw | Minnesota United |
1-0 @ 12.74% (![]() 2-0 @ 11.12% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.7% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.48% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.64% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.83% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.46% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.46% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.07% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 2.59% Total : 58.08% | 1-1 @ 11.1% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.3% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.22% ( ![]() Other @ 0.79% Total : 23.41% | 0-1 @ 6.36% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.84% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.77% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.23% ( ![]() Other @ 1.91% Total : 18.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 40 |
2 | Nashville SCNashville | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 32 |
3 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 30 |
4 | New England RevolutionNew England | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 30 |
5 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Orlando City | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 26 |
8 | DC United | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 23 |
9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Toronto | 18 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 19 |
12 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
13 | New York City FCNY City | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 18 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 17 |
15 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 15 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 29 |
2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 28 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 26 |
4 | Dallas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 26 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 26 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 22 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 21 |
8 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 20 |
10 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 20 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 19 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |