The 2023 MLS season is now up and running, and you can watch every game live with the MLS season pass on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Toronto | Draw | Nashville SC |
38.08% (![]() | 27.32% (![]() | 34.6% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.79% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.27% (![]() | 55.73% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.13% (![]() | 76.87% (![]() |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.63% (![]() | 28.37% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.89% (![]() | 64.11% (![]() |
Nashville SC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.51% (![]() | 30.49% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.29% (![]() | 66.71% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Toronto | Draw | Nashville SC |
1-0 @ 10.89% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.15% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.87% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.43% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.88% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.03% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.08% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 1.83% Total : 38.07% | 1-1 @ 12.94% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.65% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.84% ( ![]() Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.32% | 0-1 @ 10.27% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.69% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.1% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.04% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.42% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.92% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.9% ( ![]() Other @ 2.26% Total : 34.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 40 |
2 | Nashville SCNashville | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 32 |
3 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 30 |
4 | New England RevolutionNew England | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 30 |
5 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Orlando City | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 26 |
8 | DC United | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 23 |
9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Toronto | 18 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 19 |
12 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
13 | New York City FCNY City | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 18 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 17 |
15 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 15 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 29 |
2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 28 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 26 |
4 | Dallas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 26 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 26 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 22 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 21 |
8 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 20 |
10 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 20 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 19 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |