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Major League Soccer
Jun 11, 2023 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Nashville
Toronto
1 - 1
Nashville
Insigne (38')
Mabika (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Leal (69')
Bauer (35')

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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Toronto
Sunday, June 4 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 1-2 Nashville
Sunday, June 4 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 1-1 Nashville SC

All of the previous matches between these two have been decided by a goal or fewer, and we anticipate another tight one on Saturday between two clubs who have found a way to rack up some points in recent weeks.

How to watch

You can watch Toronto vs. Nashville SC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
TorontoDrawNashville SC
38.08% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 27.32% (0.064 0.06) 34.6% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Both teams to score 49.79% (-0.201 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.27% (-0.253 -0.25)55.73% (0.256 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.13% (-0.206 -0.21)76.87% (0.208 0.21)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.63% (-0.13000000000001 -0.13)28.37% (0.132 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.89% (-0.168 -0.17)64.11% (0.17 0.17)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.51% (-0.152 -0.15)30.49% (0.156 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.29% (-0.184 -0.18)66.71% (0.187 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 38.07%
    Nashville SC 34.6%
    Draw 27.32%
TorontoDrawNashville SC
1-0 @ 10.89% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.87% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.43% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.88% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.03% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 38.07%
1-1 @ 12.94% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.65% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.32%
0-1 @ 10.27% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.69% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.1% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.04% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.9% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 34.6%

How you voted: Toronto vs Nashville

Toronto
47.4%
Draw
26.3%
Nashville SC
26.3%
19
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2023 1.30am
Sep 19, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 33
Toronto
2-1
Nashville

Bradley (39')

Lovitz (32')
Aug 2, 2021 12.30am
Jun 24, 2021 1.30am
gameweek 12
Nashville
3-2
Toronto
Maher (62'), Haakenson (83', 90+2')
Osorio (26'), Mullins (81')
rhs 2.0
Real Madrid Until The End
Today's games header
Tables

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati17124127161140
2Nashville SCNashville1795325121332
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1793528171130
4New England RevolutionNew England178632821730
5Atlanta UnitedAtlanta187743529628
6Columbus Crew1783635251027
7Orlando City167542217526
8DC United186572524123
9Charlotte FCCharlotte FC186482533-822
10CF MontrealMontreal177191927-822
11Toronto1831051721-419
12New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls174761116-519
13New York City FCNY City174671722-518
14Chicago Fire173862227-517
15Inter MiamiInter Miami1750121624-815

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1St Louis City1692533171629
2Seattle SoundersSeattle188462417728
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles147522314926
4Dallas177552118326
5San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes177552120126
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver175752721622
7Houston DynamoHouston166371921-221
8Sporting Kansas CityKansas185582025-520
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd175571522-720
10Real Salt LakeSalt Lake175571827-920
11Austin FCAustin175481827-919
12Portland TimbersPortland164571924-517
13Colorado RapidsColorado182791427-1313
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy163491427-1313

Real Madrid Until The End
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