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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 58.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for DC United had a probability of 19.54%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a DC United win it was 1-2 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.
Result | ||
Atlanta United | Draw | DC United |
58.72% (![]() | 21.74% (![]() | 19.54% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.07% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.1% (![]() | 42.9% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.7% (![]() | 65.3% (![]() |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.71% (![]() | 14.29% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.91% (![]() | 42.09% (![]() |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.25% (![]() | 35.75% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.48% (![]() | 72.52% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Atlanta United | Draw | DC United |
2-1 @ 9.95% (![]() 1-0 @ 9.94% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.67% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.45% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.27% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.32% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.14% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.61% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.22% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 2.92% Total : 58.72% | 1-1 @ 10.22% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.12% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.11% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.74% | 1-2 @ 5.26% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.26% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.7% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.8% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 1.84% Total : 19.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 40 |
2 | Nashville SCNashville | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 32 |
3 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 30 |
4 | New England RevolutionNew England | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 30 |
5 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Orlando City | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 26 |
8 | DC United | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 23 |
9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Toronto | 18 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 19 |
12 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
13 | New York City FCNY City | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 18 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 17 |
15 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 15 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 29 |
2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 28 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 26 |
4 | Dallas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 26 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 26 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 22 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 21 |
8 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 20 |
10 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 20 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 19 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |