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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 65.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 14.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Austin FC |
65.59% (![]() | 20.16% (![]() | 14.25% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.99% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.68% (![]() | 45.32% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.34% (![]() | 67.66% (![]() |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.01% (![]() | 12.99% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.5% (![]() | 39.5% (![]() |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.3% (![]() | 43.7% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.12% (![]() | 79.88% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Austin FC |
2-0 @ 11.82% (![]() 1-0 @ 11.58% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.79% 3-0 @ 8.04% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.66% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.11% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.4% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.76% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.68% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.39% ( ![]() Other @ 2.96% Total : 65.58% | 1-1 @ 9.59% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.68% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.05% ( ![]() Other @ 0.85% Total : 20.16% | 0-1 @ 4.7% (![]() 1-2 @ 3.97% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.95% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.12% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 1.42% Total : 14.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 40 |
2 | Nashville SCNashville | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 32 |
3 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 30 |
4 | New England RevolutionNew England | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 30 |
5 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Orlando City | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 26 |
8 | DC United | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 23 |
9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Toronto | 18 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 19 |
12 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
13 | New York City FCNY City | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 18 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 17 |
15 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 15 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 29 |
2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 28 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 26 |
4 | Dallas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 26 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 26 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 22 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 21 |
8 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 20 |
10 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 20 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 19 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |