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LA Galaxy
CONCACAF Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 13, 2025 at 2.30am UK
Dignity Health Sports Park

LA Galaxy
4 - 1
Herediano

Aude (30'), Berry (38'), Pec (53'), Ramirez (76')
Miller (35')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Gonzalez (82')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League Round of 16 clash between Los Angeles Galaxy and Herediano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Herediano 1-0 LA Galaxy
Thursday, March 6 at 1.30am in CONCACAF Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 62.96%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Herediano had a probability of 17.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 1-0 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Herediano win it was 1-2 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawHerediano
62.96% (0.732 0.73) 19.63% (-0.265 -0.27) 17.41% (-0.463 -0.46)
Both teams to score 58.4% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.4% (0.435 0.44)36.6% (-0.428 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.25% (0.471 0.47)58.75% (-0.46400000000001 -0.46)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.89% (0.324 0.32)11.11% (-0.318 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.48% (0.70200000000001 0.7)35.52% (-0.694 -0.69)
Herediano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.7% (-0.24900000000001 -0.25)34.3% (0.255 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29% (-0.268 -0.27)71% (0.273 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles Galaxy 62.96%
    Herediano 17.41%
    Draw 19.63%
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawHerediano
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.2% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
1-0 @ 8.37% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 7.21% (0.08 0.08)
3-0 @ 6.74% (0.12 0.12)
4-1 @ 3.96% (0.094 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.86% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.7% (0.113 0.11)
4-2 @ 2.12% (0.036 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.74% (0.063 0.06)
5-0 @ 1.63% (0.07 0.07)
5-2 @ 0.93% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 62.96%
1-1 @ 8.96% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.81% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 19.63%
1-2 @ 4.79% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-1 @ 4.08% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-2 @ 2.18% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 17.41%

Head to Head
Mar 6, 2025 1.30am
Round of 16 1st Leg
Herediano
1-0
LA Galaxy
Aguilar (65')
Amador Lopez (84'), Ismael Walker Cruz (85'), Quiros (90')

Ramos Jr. (30'), Yoshida (48'), Cerrillo (67'), Aude (83')
rhs 2.0
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