Independiente

1 - 0

Universitario

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 47.28%. A win for Universitario had a probability of 26.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Universitario win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Independiente del Valle in this match.