Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitario win with a probability of 69.05%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 10.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universitario win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.41%) and 3-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for an Atletico Junior win it was 0-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
0.45) 
-0.26) 
