MX23RW : Saturday, July 22 21:42:32| >> :60:111:111:
Universitario
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 32 | 2nd Leg
Jul 19, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental
Corinthians
Universitario
1 - 2
Corinthians
Flores (77' pen.)
Corzo (12')
Estefano Guzman Simbala (90+13'), Di Benedetto (90+12'), Calcaterra (90+11')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Maycon (70'), Gustavo de Lima (90+2')
Ruan (10'), Caetano (16'), Murillo (88'), Gustavo de Lima (90+3'), Mendez (90+21')
Araujo (90+11'), Gustavo de Lima (90+10')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Universitario and Corinthians, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Corinthians 1-0 Universitario
Wednesday, July 12 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Universitario 0-0 Corinthians (Corinthians win 1-0 on aggregate)

The Peruvians have shown they can keep pace with an experienced group like Corinthians, and Los Merengues should feel comfortable given their current home form, but we have a hard time seeing them create much when in possession. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitario win with a probability of 62.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 13.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universitario win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.89%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
UniversitarioDrawCorinthians
62.51% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03) 23.68% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 13.82% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 38.25% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.65% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)59.34% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.26% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)79.73% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Universitario Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.23% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)18.77% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.84% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)50.16% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.09% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)52.91% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)86.59% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Universitario 62.5%
    Corinthians 13.82%
    Draw 23.67%
UniversitarioDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 16.61% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 13.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.85% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 7.75% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 3.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.57%
5-0 @ 1.09% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 62.5%
1-1 @ 10.57%
0-0 @ 9.93% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.82%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.67%
0-1 @ 6.32% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 2.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 13.82%

Head to Head
Jul 12, 2023 1.30am
Round of 32
Corinthians
1-0
Universitario
Augusto (79')

Urruti (20'), Urena (91')
Valera (73')
rhs 2.0
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