Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 53.7%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 23.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 2-1 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.