Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.