Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 60.46%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 20.23% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.3%) and 3-1 (7.26%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-2 (5.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 60.46% ( | 19.3% ( | 20.23% |
| Both teams to score 65.28% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.84% | 30.16% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.61% ( | 51.39% ( |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.16% | 9.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 67.34% ( | 32.65% |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.41% ( | 27.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.88% ( | 63.12% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 2-1 @ 9.4% 2-0 @ 7.3% 3-1 @ 7.26% 1-0 @ 6.3% 3-0 @ 5.64% ( 3-2 @ 4.68% 4-1 @ 4.21% 4-0 @ 3.27% 4-2 @ 2.71% 5-1 @ 1.95% 5-0 @ 1.52% 5-2 @ 1.26% 4-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.81% Total : 60.46% | 1-1 @ 8.11% 2-2 @ 6.05% 0-0 @ 2.72% 3-3 @ 2.01% ( Other @ 0.42% Total : 19.3% | 1-2 @ 5.22% 0-1 @ 3.5% 2-3 @ 2.6% 0-2 @ 2.25% 1-3 @ 2.24% 0-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.47% Total : 20.23% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 23 | 12 | 1 | 63 | 21 | 42 | 81 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 67 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 82 | 51 | 31 | 60 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 47 | 9 | 57 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 59 | 59 | 0 | 54 |
| 6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 51 |
| 7 | Montrose | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 48 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 40 |
| 9 | Clyde | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 24 |
| R | PeterheadPeterhead | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 19 | 84 | -65 | 16 |
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