Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 54.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 19.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.